INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East

New York Yankees 0, Tampa Bay Rays 1

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

6:30 PM ET · Tropicana FieldGame-day snapshot Oct 5, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 12, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score63
New York Yankees
93–68 · 2nd AL East · T-Score 63
0
0–1
FINAL · 9 innings
Tampa Bay Rays
98–64 · 1st AL East · T-Score 57
1
T-Score57
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Gerrit ColeNYY
StarterLoss
5.0511582
Drew RasmussenTB
StarterWin
8.010210101
Bryan BakerTB
ReliefSave
1.0000214
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
NYYNew York Yankees000000000010
TBTampa Bay Rays001000000150
Top hitters
Jonathan Aranda1-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Austin Wells1-for-3
Yandy Díaz1-for-4
Liam Hicks1-for-3 · 1 BB
Victor Mesa Jr.1-for-3

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRaysRasmussen owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handRaysTampa owns a .752 OPS vs RHP, 4th in MLB; New ranks 19th vs RHP.
LineupYankeesNew's official lineup includes 8 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenYankeesNew owns a 3.24 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Tampa's 3.92.
PowerYankeesNew has 223 home runs this season, 54 more than Tampa.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

NYY
Gerrit Cole RHP
Gerrit Cole
New York Yankees
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.61
61st
WHIP
1.10
29th
K/9
9.28
57th
BB/9
1.77
8th
P-Score62i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.56
173rd
OPS/R
–
IP
127.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.08
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
10
TB
Drew Rasmussen RHP
Drew Rasmussen
Tampa Bay Rays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.67
11th
WHIP
0.91
5th
K/9
9.10
63rd
BB/9
1.67
4th
P-Score75i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.73
22nd
OPS/R
–
IP
172.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.42
QUALITY
START %
80%
(4 of 5)
DAYS
REST
11
How the starters differ
·Rasmussen allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.91 WHIP compared with 1.10.
·Rasmussen allows the lower home-run rate: 0.73 vs 1.56 per nine.
·Rasmussen enters with a 2.67 ERA compared with Cole's 3.61.
·Rasmussen has produced a quality start in 80% of outings versus 20%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Cole arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam49%95.8
Slider20%89.0
Knuckle Curve14%82.7
Changeup13%85.0
Sinker4%93.3
Cutter0%92.8
Rasmussen arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Cutter29%90.0
Four-seam28%95.8
Sinker24%95.3
Changeup13%89.6
Curveball3%80.1
Sweeper3%84.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Yankees vs RHP (Drew Rasmussen)
19th
in MLB
0.714OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Rays vs RHP (Gerrit Cole)
4th
in MLB
0.752OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Oct 3, 3:30 PM ET
NYYNYY
.738
−19 ptsOPS edge
TBTB
.757

Slight edge: TB

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
New York YankeesOfficial lineupvs RHP Drew Rasmussen
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Rasmussen (BvP)
1Ben RiceLDH82.89741.9611-for-13Small sample
2Cody BellingerLLF67.76717.7752-for-8Very small sample
3Luis García Jr.L1B75.83030.9180-for-3Very small sample
4Spencer JonesLCF63.74211.6460-for-3Very small sample
5George Lombard Jr.RSS44.6997.6550-for-2Very small sample
6Jazz Chisholm Jr.L2B60.71119.7380-for-1Very small sample
7Trent GrishamLCF67.70318.7083-for-8Very small sample
8Austin WellsLC49.62414.6911-for-4Very small sample
9Ryan McMahonL3B50.63611.6620-for-3Very small sample
1Ben Rice DH · L.264 / .897 · 41 HRvs hand .961 · 1-for-13 · Small sample82H-Score2Cody Bellinger LF · L.264 / .767 · 17 HRvs hand .775 · 2-for-8 · Very small sample67H-Score3Luis García Jr. 1B · L.277 / .830 · 30 HRvs hand .918 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample75H-Score4Spencer Jones CF · L.245 / .742 · 11 HRvs hand .646 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample63H-Score5George Lombard Jr. SS · R.237 / .699 · 7 HRvs hand .655 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample44H-Score6Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B · L.231 / .711 · 19 HRvs hand .738 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample60H-Score7Trent Grisham CF · L.211 / .703 · 18 HRvs hand .708 · 3-for-8 · Very small sample67H-Score8Austin Wells C · L.186 / .624 · 14 HRvs hand .691 · 1-for-4 · Very small sample49H-Score9Ryan McMahon 3B · L.213 / .636 · 11 HRvs hand .662 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample50H-Score
Tampa Bay RaysOfficial lineupvs RHP Gerrit Cole
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Cole (BvP)
1Yandy DíazRDH78.80522.81617-for-50Established history
2Jonathan ArandaL1B67.79222.8372-for-6Very small sample
3Junior CamineroR3B87.88442.8710-for-5Very small sample
4Liam HicksLC61.80118.9020-for-1Very small sample
5Chandler SimpsonLLF43.6890.7182-for-6Very small sample
6Victor Mesa Jr.LRF70.82514.8110-for-2Very small sample
7Jonny DeLucaRRF47.72911.7730-for-5Very small sample
8Richie PalaciosL2B49.70410.7481-for-6Very small sample
9Taylor WallsSSS34.6072.6440-for-11Small sample
1Yandy Díaz DH · R.293 / .805 · 22 HRvs hand .816 · 17-for-50 · Established history78H-Score2Jonathan Aranda 1B · L.274 / .792 · 22 HRvs hand .837 · 2-for-6 · Very small sample67H-Score3Junior Caminero 3B · R.276 / .884 · 42 HRvs hand .871 · 0-for-5 · Very small sample87H-Score4Liam Hicks C · L.284 / .801 · 18 HRvs hand .902 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample61H-Score5Chandler Simpson LF · L.306 / .689 · 0 HRvs hand .718 · 2-for-6 · Very small sample43H-Score6Victor Mesa Jr. RF · L.260 / .825 · 14 HRvs hand .811 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample70H-Score7Jonny DeLuca RF · R.266 / .729 · 11 HRvs hand .773 · 0-for-5 · Very small sample47H-Score8Richie Palacios 2B · L.235 / .704 · 10 HRvs hand .748 · 1-for-6 · Very small sample49H-Score9Taylor Walls SS · S.222 / .607 · 2 HRvs hand .644 · 0-for-11 · Small sample34H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseNYYNYY·TBTB
AVG.235 26th.258 2nd
OPS.720 11th.728 8th
Home runs223 2nd169 22nd
Runs739 9th736 12th
OBP.311 24th.326 5th
SLG.409 6th.402 13th
PitchingNYYNYY·TBTB
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.23vs3.70
NYYTB
WHIP1.17vs1.14
NYYTB
K/99.1vs8.3
NYYTB
HR Allowed165vs201
NYYTB
BullpenNYYNYY·TBTB
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.24vs3.92
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.22vs1.19
no league rank
Saves45vs58
NYYTB
ResultsNYYNYY·TBTB
+3776th
Run differential
+3785th
93–68 Record98–64
5–5 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
New York Yankees (5–5)
L
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
Tampa Bay Rays (5–5)
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
9—4
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Yankees?+
Gerrit Cole (3.61 ERA, 10–9) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Drew Rasmussen (2.67 ERA, 16–5) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:30 PM ET at Tropicana Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Yankees and Rays performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Rays 4–9 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Gerrit Cole is at 62; Drew Rasmussen is at 75. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.