INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East / NL Central

Toronto Blue Jays 2, Chicago Cubs 16

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

2:20 PM ET · Wrigley FieldGame-day snapshot Jun 20, 3:00 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 9, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score44
Toronto Blue Jays
79–83 · 5th AL East · T-Score 44
2
2–16
FINAL
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 64
16
T-Score64
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCubsBrown owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handCubsChicago owns a .757 OPS vs RHP, 3th in MLB; Toronto ranks 25th vs RHP.
Recent formCubsChicago has been the better recent team, at 4–6 over the last 10.
Plate disciplineCubsChicago has drawn 331 walks this season, 118 more than Toronto.
WeatherLow impact79°F, wind 6 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

TOR
Kevin Gausman RHP
Kevin Gausman
Toronto Blue Jays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.04
141st
WHIP
1.13
102nd
K/9
9.00
55th
BB/9
2.02
43rd
P-Score58i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.11
137th
OPS/R
–
IP
89.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.54
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
84
CHC
Ben Brown RHP
Ben Brown
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
1.85
3rd
WHIP
0.94
7th
K/9
8.60
89th
BB/9
2.51
53rd
P-Score73i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.26
2nd
OPS/R
–
IP
68.0
Last 5 starts
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
85
How the starters differ
·Brown enters with a 1.85 ERA compared with Gausman's 4.04.
·Brown allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.94 WHIP compared with 1.13.
·Brown allows the lower home-run rate: 0.26 vs 1.11 per nine.
·Gausman has produced a quality start in 67% of outings versus 0%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Gausman arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam51%93.8
Splitter39%84.0
Slider8%84.0
Changeup1%83.9
Sweeper1%79.1
Brown arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam37%96.3
Knuckle Curve36%86.8
Sinker21%96.4
Changeup6%90.1

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Jays vs RHP (Ben Brown)
25th
in MLB
0.705OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Cubs vs RHP (Kevin Gausman)
3rd
in MLB
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Toronto Blue JaysProjected — not officialvs RHP Ben Brown
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Brown (BvP)
1Alejandro Kirk—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Andrés Giménez—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Brandon Valenzuela—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Charles McAdoo—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Davis Schneider—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Alejandro Kirk– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Andrés Giménez– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Brandon Valenzuela– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Charles McAdoo– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Davis Schneider– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseTORTOR·CHCCHC
AVG.247 9th.251 6th
OPS.691 28th.767 1st
Home runs152 30th220 3rd
Runs648 30th850 1st
OBP.310 25th.339 2nd
SLG.381 26th.428 1st
PitchingTORTOR·CHCCHC
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.90vs4.12
TORCHC
WHIP1.29vs1.26
TORCHC
K/98.8vs7.8
TORCHC
HR Allowed167vs231
TORCHC
ResultsTORTOR·CHCCHC
+25321st
Run differential
+4452nd
79–83 Record89–73
4–6 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Toronto Blue Jays (4–6)
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
Chicago Cubs (4–6)
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—1
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Jays?+
Kevin Gausman (4.04 ERA, 4–5) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Ben Brown (1.85 ERA, 4–2) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:20 PM ET at Wrigley Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Wrigley Field, home of the Chicago Cubs.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Jays and Cubs performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Cubs 1–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Kevin Gausman is at 58; Ben Brown is at 73. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.