4.73
ERA
1.53
WHIP
6.5
K/9
64.2
IP
14
GS
3.2
BB/9
vs CHC — career
8.44ERA1GS.353OPP AVG4K
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs
8:6
Final
H2H 2–1
CHC · Home · 64-49
Chicago Cubs
Starting pitchers
4.99
ERA
1.40
WHIP
6.7
K/9
79.1
IP
12
GS
3.2
BB/9
vs TOR — career
0.00ERA1GS.158OPP AVG3K
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season4.73
Last 53.83
↑0.90 ERA better in last 5
↑ ERA trending up lately
Matchup edge
Patrick Corbin hotter lately (L5 3.83 ERA)·Cubs 4–6 L10
Projected hitters vs RHP / LHP
Toronto vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.711Top: Valenzuela 0.794 · Varsho 0.749 · Kirk 0.693
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Cubs vs LHP
Avg OPS 0.7291 hot hitterTop: Kelly 0.979 · Bregman 0.675 · Swanson 0.663
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Toronto Blue Jays hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
Chicago Cubs hitters vs LHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
◆ Matchup preview
Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs (2026-06-20). Patrick Corbin vs Colin Rea at Wrigley Field.
Patrick Corbin, pitching for the Blue Jays, enters this contest with a season ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.48 over 61 innings pitched across 13 starts. His strikeout rate sits at 6.34 K/9, while his walk rate is 2.95 BB/9, indicating a tendency to allow baserunners. Corbin's recent trend shows his ERA is "up," and he has a 0% quality start percentage, suggesting inconsistency in his outings. Colin Rea, starting for the Cubs, has a higher season ERA of 5.35 and a slightly lower WHIP of 1.46 across 74 innings in 11 starts. Rea's K/9 is 6.81, marginally better than Corbin's, but his BB/9 is also higher at 3.41. Rea's ERA trend is also "up," and he has a 16.7% blow-up rate, indicating a higher propensity for particularly poor starts compared to Corbin.
The Blue Jays offense has posted a .703 OPS this season, scoring 308 runs with a .249 batting average, demonstrating a moderate offensive output. Their pitching staff holds a 4.11 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP, with a solid 8.96 K/9, suggesting a capable but not dominant unit. Conversely, the Cubs offense exhibits a stronger .737 OPS, having scored 360 runs with a .243 batting average, indicating more power and run production despite a slightly lower average. The Cubs' pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP, with a lower 7.95 K/9, suggesting a slightly less strikeout-heavy approach than Toronto's.
Recent head-to-head matchups between these two clubs from August 2025 show a split, with the Blue Jays winning two out of three games. These games were relatively low-scoring, with final scores of 1-2, 4-1, and 1-5. The current total line of 9.0 suggests expectations for a more offensive game than their previous encounters. Given both starting pitchers have upward ERA trends and WHIPs above 1.45, combined with the Cubs' higher offensive output, the 9.0 total line aligns with the potential for runs, despite the historical low-scoring nature of this specific matchup.
Key facts
◆ Lineup notes
Daulton Varsho has a 1-for-2 record against Rea, good for a .500 average and 1.000 OPS. George Springer is 0-for-2, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Davis Schneider, and Andrés Giménez are all hitless in three at-bats. Nathan Lukes, Brandon Valenzuela, Kazuma Okamoto, and Myles Straw have no MLB history against Colin Rea.
Dansby Swanson has the most extensive history against Corbin, with 12 hits in 43 at-bats across 47 plate appearances, resulting in a .279 average and .805 OPS. Seiya Suzuki boasts a strong 6-for-12 record in 14 plate appearances, with a .500 average and 1.571 OPS. Ian Happ is 6-for-19 in 21 plate appearances, holding a .316 average and .907 OPS. Nico Hoerner is 5-for-14 in 15 plate appearances, with a .357 average and .829 OPS. Pete Crow-Armstrong is 2-for-4 with a .500 average and 1.000 OPS. Alex Bregman is 1-for-9 in 10 plate appearances, with a .111 average and .311 OPS. Matt Shaw is hitless in one at-bat across two plate appearances, with a .500 OPS. Miguel Amaya is 0-for-6. Michael Busch has no MLB history against Patrick Corbin.
Takeaway: The home team's lineup features significantly more batters with prior MLB history and strong numbers against the opposing starter compared to the away team.
Head to head (2025–2026)
2—1
Toronto Blue Jays lead series
3 meetings total
2025-08-14
Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays
1–2
TOR
2025-08-13
Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays
4–1
CHC
2025-08-12
Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays
1–5
TOR
Team picture · 2026
TOR
CHC
Team AVG
0.249
0.244
Team OPS
0.702
0.738
Home runs
77
90
Runs scored
316
366
Team ERA
4.13
4.28
HR allowed
83
113
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