INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL West / NL Central

San Diego Padres 3, Milwaukee Brewers 4

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

4:00 PM ET · American Family FieldGame-day snapshot Oct 6, 2:00 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 12, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score47
San Diego Padres
91–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 47
3
3–4
FINAL · 9 innings
Milwaukee Brewers
103–59 · 1st NL Central · T-Score 70
4
T-Score70
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Michael KingSD
Starter
5.0310672
Mason MillerSD
ReliefLoss
1.2123240
Logan HendersonMIL
Starter
5.0213472
Trevor MegillMIL
ReliefWin
1.000009
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
SDSan Diego Padres100010100352
MILMilwaukee Brewers000010102453
Top hitters
Ty France2-for-3 · 2 RBI
Jackson Chourio1-for-4 · 2 RBI
Sal Frelick1-for-2 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 BB
Dustin Harris0-for-5 · 1 RBI
Christian Yelich1-for-3 · 2 R · 1 BB

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherBrewersHenderson owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handBrewersMilwaukee has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
LineupBrewersThe confirmed Milwaukee order includes 6 hitters with an OPS above .750 against right-handed pitching.
BullpenBrewersMilwaukee has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formBrewersMilwaukee has won 9 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

SD
Michael King RHP
Michael King
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.21
35th
WHIP
1.18
67th
K/9
7.74
131st
BB/9
3.41
137th
P-Score60i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.97
66th
OPS/R
–
IP
185.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.10
QUALITY
START %
80%
(4 of 5)
DAYS
REST
12
MIL
Logan Henderson RHP
Logan Henderson
Milwaukee Brewers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.47
8th
WHIP
0.84
3rd
K/9
10.07
31st
BB/9
1.74
7th
P-Score71i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.28
129th
OPS/R
–
IP
98.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.17
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
11
How the starters differ
·Henderson allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.84 WHIP compared with 1.18.
·Henderson strikes out 2.3 more batters per nine innings.
·Henderson enters with a 2.47 ERA compared with King's 3.21.
·King has produced a quality start in 80% of outings versus 40%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

King arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker28%93.2
Changeup26%86.5
Four-seam20%94.3
Sweeper19%82.0
Slider7%85.5
Henderson arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam46%93.1
Changeup35%82.9
Cutter15%87.8
Sweeper3%81.1

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Padres vs RHP (Logan Henderson)
15th
in MLB
0.722OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Brewers vs RHP (Michael King)
2nd
in MLB
0.759OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Oct 4, 3:35 PM ET
SDSD
.741
−8 ptsOPS edge
MILMIL
.749

Even matchup

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Logan Henderson
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Henderson (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RRF84.82825.7820-for-3Very small sample
2Dustin HarrisLLF42.7360.803No MLB historyNo history
3Manny MachadoR3B68.71030.7140-for-3Very small sample
4Ty FranceR1B77.86521.8692-for-3Very small sample
5Jackson MerrillLCF68.74326.7441-for-3Very small sample
6Gavin SheetsL1B54.71017.7640-for-2Very small sample
7Xander BogaertsRSS57.67613.687No MLB historyNo history
8Luis CampusanoRC61.7968.791No MLB historyNo history
9Jake CronenworthL2B38.6297.6301-for-3Very small sample
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R.289 / .828 · 25 HRvs hand .782 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample84H-Score2Dustin Harris LF · L.293 / .736 · 0 HRvs hand .803 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.217 / .710 · 30 HRvs hand .714 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score4Ty France 1B · R.295 / .865 · 21 HRvs hand .869 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample77H-Score5Jackson Merrill CF · L.254 / .743 · 26 HRvs hand .744 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score6Gavin Sheets 1B · L.212 / .710 · 17 HRvs hand .764 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample54H-Score7Xander Bogaerts SS · R.231 / .676 · 13 HRvs hand .687 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score8Luis Campusano C · R.265 / .796 · 8 HRvs hand .791 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score9Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.225 / .629 · 7 HRvs hand .630 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample38H-Score
Milwaukee BrewersOfficial lineupvs RHP Michael King
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs King (BvP)
1Jackson ChourioRLF79.83825.7780-for-3Very small sample
2Brice TurangL2B76.81621.9011-for-2Very small sample
3Jake BauersL1B84.87326.8631-for-6Very small sample
4William ContrerasRC74.75818.7570-for-3Very small sample
5Garrett MitchellLCF71.77011.8020-for-2Very small sample
6Christian YelichLDH58.69312.7220-for-3Very small sample
7Sal FrelickLRF38.6144.6405-for-10Small sample
8Cooper PrattRSS48.7183.768No MLB historyNo history
9David HamiltonL3B40.6504.668No MLB historyNo history
1Jackson Chourio LF · R.291 / .838 · 25 HRvs hand .778 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample79H-Score2Brice Turang 2B · L.268 / .816 · 21 HRvs hand .901 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample76H-Score3Jake Bauers 1B · L.266 / .873 · 26 HRvs hand .863 · 1-for-6 · Very small sample84H-Score4William Contreras C · R.270 / .758 · 18 HRvs hand .757 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample74H-Score5Garrett Mitchell CF · L.262 / .770 · 11 HRvs hand .802 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample71H-Score6Christian Yelich DH · L.235 / .693 · 12 HRvs hand .722 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample58H-Score7Sal Frelick RF · L.230 / .614 · 4 HRvs hand .640 · 5-for-10 · Small sample38H-Score8Cooper Pratt SS · R.281 / .718 · 3 HRvs hand .768 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score9David Hamilton 3B · L.245 / .650 · 4 HRvs hand .668 · No MLB history · No history40H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseSDSD·MILMIL
AVG.244 17th.258 1st
OPS.717 19th.744 3rd
Home runs183 15th154 28th
Runs722 15th832 2nd
OBP.319 12th.341 1st
SLG.398 20th.403 10th
PitchingSDSD·MILMIL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.99vs3.51
SDMIL
WHIP1.29vs1.18
SDMIL
K/98.2vs9.6
SDMIL
HR Allowed180vs171
SDMIL
BullpenSDSD·MILMIL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.72vs3.29
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.26vs1.20
no league rank
Saves48vs55
SDMIL
ResultsSDSD·MILMIL
+30718th
Run differential
+4571st
91–71 Record103–59
7–3 Last 109–1
Last 10 games
San Diego Padres (7–3)
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
Milwaukee Brewers (9–1)
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—2
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Padres?+
Michael King (3.21 ERA, 12–10) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Logan Henderson (2.47 ERA, 11–3) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:00 PM ET at American Family Field.
Where is the game being played?+
American Family Field, home of the Milwaukee Brewers.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Padres and Brewers performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Brewers 2–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Michael King is at 60; Logan Henderson is at 71. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.