INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsAL Central / NL West

Minnesota Twins 1, San Diego Padres 8

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

4:10 PM ET · Petco ParkGame-day snapshot Aug 23, 7:05 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 7, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score49
Minnesota Twins
77–85 · 3rd AL Central · T-Score 49
1
1–8
FINAL
San Diego Padres
91–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 55
8
T-Score55
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handTwinsMinnesota has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
BullpenPadresSan has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Starter formPadresBuehler has a 3.16 ERA over his last five starts, while Ober is at 5.47.
Recent formPadresSan has won 7 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Starting pitchers

MIN
Bailey Ober RHP
Bailey Ober
Minnesota Twins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.62
136th
WHIP
1.25
109th
K/9
6.18
188th
BB/9
2.26
55th
P-Score48i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.48
158th
OPS/R
–
IP
103.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.47
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
SD
Walker Buehler RHP
Walker Buehler
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.79
146th
WHIP
1.39
132nd
K/9
7.78
134th
BB/9
3.66
128th
P-Score47i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.05
130th
OPS/R
–
IP
120.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.16
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Buehler owns a 7.8 K/9 compared with Ober's 6.2.
·Ober walks 1.4 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Buehler allows the lower home-run rate: 1.05 vs 1.48 per nine.
·Ober works deeper into games, 5.4 IP per start versus 4.9.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricOberBuehlerNote
Career vs opponent– ERA, 2 GS–Career history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Buehler arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Cutter24%90.4
Four-seam20%94.0
Sinker20%94.2
Slider11%87.1
Changeup9%89.3
Knuckle Curve8%78.3
Sweeper7%82.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Twins vs RHP (Walker Buehler)
8th
in MLB
0.739OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Padres vs RHP (Bailey Ober)
15th
in MLB
0.722OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Minnesota TwinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Walker Buehler
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Buehler (BvP)
1Luke KeaschallR2B60.78110.800No MLB historyNo history
2Byron BuxtonRCF70.83025.864No MLB historyNo history
3Josh BellSDH69.73821.7415-for-11Small sample
4Kody ClemensL2B73.75827.789No MLB historyNo history
5Royce LewisR1B56.66715.638No MLB historyNo history
6Brooks LeeS3B60.72824.800No MLB historyNo history
7Alan RodenLRF—.7681.6701-for-2Very small sample
8Victor CaratiniSC50.6277.6670-for-3Very small sample
9Kaelen CulpepperRSS43.7213.704No MLB historyNo history
1Luke Keaschall 2B · R.282 / .781 · 10 HRvs hand .800 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score2Byron Buxton CF · R.254 / .830 · 25 HRvs hand .864 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score3Josh Bell DH · S.255 / .738 · 21 HRvs hand .741 · 5-for-11 · Small sample69H-Score4Kody Clemens 2B · L.239 / .758 · 27 HRvs hand .789 · No MLB history · No history73H-Score5Royce Lewis 1B · R.227 / .667 · 15 HRvs hand .638 · No MLB history · No history56H-Score6Brooks Lee 3B · S.253 / .728 · 24 HRvs hand .800 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score7Alan Roden RF · L.291 / .768 · 1 HRvs hand .670 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample—H-Score8Victor Caratini C · S.220 / .627 · 7 HRvs hand .667 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample50H-Score9Kaelen Culpepper SS · R.274 / .721 · 3 HRvs hand .704 · No MLB history · No history43H-Score
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Bailey Ober
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Ober (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RRF87.82825.7822-for-3Very small sample
2Jake CronenworthL2B39.6297.6301-for-6Very small sample
3Manny MachadoR3B71.71030.7141-for-3Very small sample
4Ty FranceR1B80.86521.8693-for-16Small sample
5Jackson MerrillLCF71.74326.7441-for-2Very small sample
6Luis CampusanoRC63.7968.7910-for-2Very small sample
7Gavin SheetsL1B55.71017.7646-for-24Small sample
8Xander BogaertsRSS60.67613.6872-for-10Small sample
9Luis RengifoSLF42.6364.6771-for-3Very small sample
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R.289 / .828 · 25 HRvs hand .782 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample87H-Score2Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.225 / .629 · 7 HRvs hand .630 · 1-for-6 · Very small sample39H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.217 / .710 · 30 HRvs hand .714 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample71H-Score4Ty France 1B · R.295 / .865 · 21 HRvs hand .869 · 3-for-16 · Small sample80H-Score5Jackson Merrill CF · L.254 / .743 · 26 HRvs hand .744 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample71H-Score6Luis Campusano C · R.265 / .796 · 8 HRvs hand .791 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample63H-Score7Gavin Sheets 1B · L.212 / .710 · 17 HRvs hand .764 · 6-for-24 · Small sample55H-Score8Xander Bogaerts SS · R.231 / .676 · 13 HRvs hand .687 · 2-for-10 · Small sample60H-Score9Luis Rengifo LF · S.240 / .636 · 4 HRvs hand .677 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample42H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMINMIN·SDSD
AVG.245 13th.244 17th
OPS.720 11th.717 18th
Home runs187 12th183 14th
Runs739 9th722 15th
OBP.317 14th.319 11th
SLG.403 10th.398 19th
PitchingMINMIN·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.56vs3.99
MINSD
WHIP1.36vs1.29
MINSD
K/98.7vs8.2
MINSD
HR Allowed186vs180
MINSD
BullpenMINMIN·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.34vs3.58
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.33vs1.25
no league rank
Saves45vs48
MINSD
ResultsMINMIN·SDSD
+27619th
Run differential
+29116th
77–85 Record91–71
4–6 Last 107–3
Last 10 games
Minnesota Twins (4–6)
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
San Diego Padres (7–3)
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—1
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Twins?+
Bailey Ober (4.62 ERA, 7–4) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Padres?+
Walker Buehler (4.79 ERA, 7–6) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:10 PM ET at Petco Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Petco Park, home of the San Diego Padres.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Twins and Padres performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Padres 1–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Bailey Ober is at 48; Walker Buehler is at 47. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.