Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenThe starters grade similarly overall, with no clear advantage across P-Score, ERA and WHIP.
Offense vs handRoyalsKansas owns a .721 OPS vs RHP, 14th in MLB; Cleveland ranks 25th vs RHP.
Team strengthGuardiansCleveland leads 53–37 in T-Score.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Lugo owns the lower FIP, 4.16 to 4.66.
·Cecconi has been more vulnerable to home runs, allowing 0.23 more per nine innings.
·Cecconi carries a 5.12 road ERA, compared with Lugo's 4.07 mark at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Cecconi | Lugo | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 122 | 117 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 4.66 | 4.16 | |
| WAR | 0.6 | 2.1 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Cecconi arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 27% | 93.5 |
| Cutter | 25% | 88.4 |
| Sinker | 20% | 93.5 |
| Curveball | 15% | 75.9 |
| Sweeper | 6% | 83.1 |
| Slider | 5% | 83.4 |
| Changeup | 2% | 83.1 |
| Splitter | 0% | 84.4 |
Lugo arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sinker | 19% | 91.4 |
| Four-seam | 16% | 91.6 |
| Cutter | 16% | 89.8 |
| Curveball | 15% | 77.2 |
| Sweeper | 11% | 79.1 |
| Slider | 9% | 84.2 |
| Changeup | 9% | 85.1 |
| Slow Curve | 2% | 69.2 |
| Slurve | 1% | 77.3 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.701OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.721OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
CLE·
KC+19719th
Run differential
+12727th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Guardians?+
Slade Cecconi is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Royals?+
Seth Lugo is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:10 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Kauffman Stadium, home of the Kansas City Royals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Slade Cecconi is at 45; Seth Lugo is at 48. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.