Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCubsImanaga owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handEvenBoth offenses perform near the same level against the opposing starter's handedness.
Team strengthCubsChicago leads 65–29 in T-Score.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Imanaga allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.12 WHIP compared with 1.53.
·Imanaga enters with a 3.88 ERA compared with Lowder's 5.81.
·Imanaga strikes out 1.6 more batters per nine innings.
·Lowder allows the lower home-run rate: 1.28 vs 1.89 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Lowder | Imanaga | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 135 | 94 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 4.71 | 4.70 | |
| WAR | 1.2 | 1.3 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Lowder arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sinker | 29% | 93.0 |
| Slider | 27% | 85.1 |
| Four-seam | 21% | 93.6 |
| Changeup | 21% | 86.5 |
| Curveball | 3% | 80.7 |
| Sweeper | 0% | 83.2 |
Imanaga arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 41% | 91.6 |
| Splitter | 34% | 82.8 |
| Sweeper | 15% | 80.9 |
| Sinker | 6% | 90.1 |
| Curveball | 3% | 74.4 |
| Slider | 2% | 86.4 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.745OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.758OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
CIN·
CHC+9128th
Run differential
+3412nd
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Rhett Lowder is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Shota Imanaga is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:20 PM ET at Wrigley Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Wrigley Field, home of the Chicago Cubs.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Rhett Lowder is at 39; Shota Imanaga is at 57. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.