Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPhilliesNola holds a modest edge in P-Score and WHIP, while the ERA gap is small.
Offense vs handPhilliesPhiladelphia owns a .705 OPS vs LHP, 16th in MLB; Cincinnati ranks 27th vs RHP.
Team strengthPhilliesPhiladelphia leads 49–24 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Abbott carries a 4.91 road ERA, compared with Nola's 5.36 mark at home.
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Abbott arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 45% | 92.2 |
| Sweeper | 20% | 81.4 |
| Changeup | 20% | 85.7 |
| Curveball | 13% | 79.7 |
| Cutter | 3% | 88.7 |
Nola arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Knuckle Curve | 33% | 78.4 |
| Four-seam | 24% | 92.3 |
| Sinker | 18% | 91.6 |
| Changeup | 16% | 85.6 |
| Cutter | 8% | 86.2 |
| Slider | 1% | 83.2 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.693OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.705OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
CIN·
PHI+13729th
Run differential
+27116th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Andrew Abbott is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Aaron Nola is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:05 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Citizens Bank Park, home of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Andrew Abbott is at 45; Aaron Nola is at 55. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.