Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherOriolesBaltimore has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Baz leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handRaysTampa owns a .752 OPS vs RHP, 4th in MLB; Baltimore ranks 17th vs LHP.
Team strengthRaysTampa leads 68–49 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Baz averages 0.6 more innings per start.
·Baz carries a 4.30 road ERA, compared with Matz's 6.75 mark at home.
·Baz holds a 18-point P-Score advantage, 54 to 36.
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Matz arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sinker | 50% | 93.5 |
| Changeup | 29% | 83.0 |
| Curveball | 12% | 78.8 |
| Slider | 8% | 82.4 |
| Cutter | 0% | 88.2 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.701OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.752OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
BAL·
TB+29212th
Run differential
+3396th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Shane Baz is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Steven Matz is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:10 PM ET at Tropicana Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Shane Baz is at 54; Steven Matz is at 36. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.