INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East / NL Central

Baltimore Orioles 5, St. Louis Cardinals 7

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

2:15 PM ET · Busch StadiumGame-day snapshot Aug 27, 5:00 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 11, 5:01 AM ET
T-Score51
Baltimore Orioles
79–82 · 4th AL East · T-Score 51
5
5–7
FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals
77–85 · 4th NL Central · T-Score 42
7
T-Score42
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .018 difference in OPS.
LineupCardinalsSt.'s official lineup includes 7 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
Recent formOriolesBaltimore has won 5 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Plate disciplineOriolesBaltimore has drawn 497 walks this season, 65 more than St..

Starting pitchers

BAL
Trevor Rogers LHP
Trevor Rogers
Baltimore Orioles
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.14
105th
WHIP
1.24
65th
K/9
7.73
101st
BB/9
2.44
24th
P-Score61i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.95
80th
OPS/R
–
IP
132.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.03
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
STL
Gordon Graceffo RHP
Gordon Graceffo
St. Louis Cardinals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.13
WHIP
1.12
K/9
5.40
BB/9
4.26
FIP
–
HR/9
0.71
OPS/R
–
IP
63.1
Last 5 starts
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Rogers strikes out 2.3 more batters per nine innings.
·Rogers walks 1.8 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Graceffo enters with a 3.13 ERA compared with Rogers's 4.14.
·Rogers has produced a quality start in 60% of outings versus 0%.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricRogersGraceffoNote
Career vs opponent– ERA, 3 GS– ERA, 1 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Rogers arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam47%93.8
Changeup21%87.0
Sweeper14%78.1
Sinker10%93.4
Cutter8%83.1
Graceffo arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam38%95.3
Slider18%86.7
Cutter15%89.5
Changeup14%88.2
Curveball8%83.2
Sinker7%94.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Orioles vs RHP (Gordon Graceffo)
18th
in MLB
0.715OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Cardinals vs LHP (Trevor Rogers)
20th
in MLB
0.697OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Baltimore OriolesOfficial lineupvs RHP Gordon Graceffo
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Graceffo (BvP)
1Jackson HollidayL2B42.6407.643No MLB historyNo history
2Pete AlonsoR1B82.88543.935No MLB historyNo history
3Gunnar HendersonLSS63.71224.708No MLB historyNo history
4Samuel BasalloLC57.69718.777No MLB historyNo history
5Christian Encarnacion-StrandR3B62.83811.743No MLB historyNo history
6Dylan BeaversLLF52.6809.715No MLB historyNo history
7Coby MayoR3B65.75824.567No MLB historyNo history
8Colton CowserLCF52.68713.734No MLB historyNo history
9Leody TaverasSCF42.6338.708No MLB historyNo history
1Jackson Holliday 2B · L.229 / .640 · 7 HRvs hand .643 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score2Pete Alonso 1B · R.267 / .885 · 43 HRvs hand .935 · No MLB history · No history82H-Score3Gunnar Henderson SS · L.225 / .712 · 24 HRvs hand .708 · No MLB history · No history63H-Score4Samuel Basallo C · L.222 / .697 · 18 HRvs hand .777 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score5Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B · R.277 / .838 · 11 HRvs hand .743 · No MLB history · No history62H-Score6Dylan Beavers LF · L.228 / .680 · 9 HRvs hand .715 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score7Coby Mayo 3B · R.228 / .758 · 24 HRvs hand .567 · No MLB history · No history65H-Score8Colton Cowser CF · L.226 / .687 · 13 HRvs hand .734 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score9Leody Taveras CF · S.219 / .633 · 8 HRvs hand .708 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score
St. Louis CardinalsOfficial lineupvs LHP Trevor Rogers
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Rogers (BvP)
1José FermínRLF46.6646.747No MLB historyNo history
2Iván HerreraRDH64.73519.7872-for-3Very small sample
3Jordan WalkerRRF79.79329.8631-for-1Very small sample
4Alec BurlesonL1B79.81626.5590-for-2Very small sample
5Joshua BáezRLF56.78871.059No MLB historyNo history
6Blaze JordanR3B47.6583.823No MLB historyNo history
7Ramón UríasR3B43.5864.9680-for-3Very small sample
8Nathan ChurchLCF45.65410.596No MLB historyNo history
9Pedro PagésRC30.5874.490No MLB historyNo history
1José Fermín LF · R.248 / .664 · 6 HRvs hand .747 · No MLB history · No history46H-Score2Iván Herrera DH · R.241 / .735 · 19 HRvs hand .787 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample64H-Score3Jordan Walker RF · R.269 / .793 · 29 HRvs hand .863 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample79H-Score4Alec Burleson 1B · L.279 / .816 · 26 HRvs hand .559 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample79H-Score5Joshua Báez LF · R.230 / .788 · 7 HRvs hand 1.059 · No MLB history · No history56H-Score6Blaze Jordan 3B · R.247 / .658 · 3 HRvs hand .823 · No MLB history · No history47H-Score7Ramón Urías 3B · R.151 / .586 · 4 HRvs hand .968 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample43H-Score8Nathan Church CF · L.247 / .654 · 10 HRvs hand .596 · No MLB history · No history45H-Score9Pedro Pagés C · R.217 / .587 · 4 HRvs hand .490 · No MLB history · No history30H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseBALBAL·STLSTL
AVG.234 28th.239 24th
OPS.710 21st.691 29th
Home runs199 10th167 24th
Runs718 17th720 16th
OBP.314 20th.313 22nd
SLG.396 22nd.378 29th
PitchingBALBAL·STLSTL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.07vs4.26
BALSTL
WHIP1.34vs1.36
BALSTL
K/98.2vs8.0
BALSTL
HR Allowed169vs158
BALSTL
BullpenBALBAL·STLSTL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.18vs4.23
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.36vs1.35
no league rank
Saves46vs46
BALSTL
ResultsBALBAL·STLSTL
+3419th
Run differential
+26720th
79–82 Record77–85
5–5 Last 103–7
Last 10 games
Baltimore Orioles (5–5)
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
St. Louis Cardinals (3–7)
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
1—2
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Trevor Rogers (4.14 ERA, 9–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cardinals?+
Gordon Graceffo (3.13 ERA, 7–1) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:15 PM ET at Busch Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Busch Stadium, home of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Orioles and Cardinals performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Cardinals 2–1 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.