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ML model

MLBpredictions

Daily MLB Over/Under predictions for game totals. ML model picks with season record, ROI tracking, and independent verification on Tipstrr.

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Today's prediction
Featured

No pick published yet

Today's O/U prediction will appear here once published — usually 2–3 hours before first pitch.

Who sees picks?

Pro subscribersget today's pick, odds, and full analysis on this page. Everyone else sees published results in the pick log — win/loss, score, and units after games finish.

Picks and results are published on the site after lineups are set; final W/L results are added once the game is final.

Questions? [email protected]

About our prediction system

Launching August 24: Predictions

Starting August 24, pitcherstat.com introduces a new Predictions section, bringing our data-driven approach to MLB game totals.

Our predictions are generated using an ML model that analyzes over 100 match and team metrics — from pitcher statistics (ERA, FIP, xERA, WHIP, K/9, BB/9, HR/9, swinging-strike rate, chase rate, and pitch-mix tendencies) and team offensive profiles (wOBA, OPS, ISO, barrel rate, hard-hit%, average exit velocity, platoon splits vs LHP/RHP) to bullpen usage, leverage spots, rest days, run differential, Pythagorean win expectancy, defensive runs saved, and current team form, plus head-to-head history, weather conditions, ballpark factors (run and HR park effects), umpire tendencies, and key player injuries. The model processes this data ahead of every game, identifying patterns that are easy to miss with a quick glance at the stats. The final prediction is the result of comprehensive analysis, not a guess.

Key facts

  • Pro memberssee today's pick, odds, and analysis on this page. Everyone else sees finished results in the pick log.
  • The featured pick and analysis are published here before first pitch. Final results (win/loss and score) are posted after the game ends.
  • The model provides predictions exclusively for the game total market (Over/Under) — the combined number of runs scored in the game.
  • Predictions are published on the site and sent to subscribers no earlier than 2–3 hours before first pitch, and no later than one hour before — once the official starting lineup is available.
  • On game days we publish no more than 1–2 picks. Volume averages around 30 predictions per month, with a minimum of 25.
  • All predictions published on the site and in the newsletter are simultaneously recorded on Tipstrr, an independent verification service.
  • The odds/line for each prediction are set based on the average across leading US sportsbooks: FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, Fanatics, and Caesars.

Predictions are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice.

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By side

MarketRecordWin %UnitsROI
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Monthly

MonthRecordUnitsROI
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Pick log
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DateResMatchPickMktOddsScoreUnitsCLV
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