FinalFinal lineupsAL East / AL Central

Tampa Bay Rays 3, Cleveland Guardians 2

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

6:10 PM ET · Progressive FieldStats availableFinal lineups locked
T-Score68
98–64 · 1st AL East · T-Score 68
3
3–2
FINAL
85–77 · 1st AL Central · T-Score 55
2
T-Score55
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherGuardiansCleveland has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Messick leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .004 difference in OPS.
Team strengthRaysTampa leads 68–55 in T-Score.

Starting pitchers

2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.49
188th
WHIP
1.23
82nd
K/9
6.83
175th
BB/9
2.80
79th
P-Score36i
FIP
5.16
HR/9
1.68
193rd
OPS/R
0.840
IP
80.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA6.75
Road ERA4.54
Last 5 starts
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.56
10th
WHIP
1.06
20th
K/9
9.32
55th
BB/9
2.37
40th
P-Score76i
FIP
3.07
HR/9
0.82
32nd
OPS/R
0.597
IP
186.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.90
Road ERA2.19
Last 5 starts
How the starters differ
·Messick owns the lower FIP, 3.07 to 5.16.
·Messick strikes out 2.5 more batters per nine innings.
·Messick allows the lower home-run rate: 0.82 vs 1.68 per nine.
·Messick allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.06 WHIP compared with 1.23.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricMatzMessickNote
ERA−13762Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP5.163.07
WAR-0.14.8Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Matz arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker50%93.5
Changeup29%83.0
Curveball12%78.8
Slider8%82.4
Cutter0%88.2
Messick arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam42%94.4
Changeup24%85.9
Sinker15%92.8
Curveball9%79.3
Slider6%87.0
Cutter5%90.6

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

25th
in MLB
0.679OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
27th
in MLB
0.675OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Lineups not announced

Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.

Team comparison

ResultsTBTB·CLECLE
+3276th
Run differential
+25017th
98–64 Record85–77
Last 10 games
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
0—0
0 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Rays?+
Steven Matz is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Guardians?+
Parker Messick is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:10 PM ET at Progressive Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Progressive Field, home of the Cleveland Guardians.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Steven Matz is at 36; Parker Messick is at 76. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.