Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherJaysCease owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handSoxBoston owns a .711 OPS vs RHP, 22th in MLB; Toronto ranks 28th vs LHP.
Team strengthSoxBoston leads 56–45 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Cease strikes out 4.2 more batters per nine innings.
·Suarez walks 1.4 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Cease owns the lower FIP, 2.47 to 3.12.
·Suarez carries a 2.85 road ERA, compared with Cease's 2.85 mark at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Suarez | Cease | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 77 | 58 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.12 | 2.47 | |
| WAR | 3.7 | 5.6 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Suarez arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sinker | 24% | 90.3 |
| Four-seam | 22% | 91.6 |
| Cutter | 19% | 88.0 |
| Curveball | 17% | 75.7 |
| Changeup | 12% | 81.1 |
| Slider | 5% | 78.9 |
Cease arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 37% | 96.9 |
| Slider | 30% | 88.7 |
| Changeup | 12% | 81.5 |
| Knuckle Curve | 10% | 81.8 |
| Sinker | 8% | 95.8 |
| Sweeper | 4% | 83.4 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.711OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.660OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
BOS·
TOR+3109th
Run differential
+19622nd
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Ranger Suarez is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Jays?+
Dylan Cease is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre.
Where is the game being played?+
Rogers Centre, home of the Toronto Blue Jays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Ranger Suarez is at 64; Dylan Cease is at 83. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.