Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handCubsChicago has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthCubsChicago leads 66–55 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Boyd owns a 6.8 K/9 compared with Vásquez's 5.6.
·Boyd enters with a 2.86 road ERA; Vásquez owns a 3.97 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Boyd | Vásquez | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 99 | 100 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 4.27 | 4.32 | |
| WAR | 1.5 | 1.2 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Boyd arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 44% | 92.8 |
| Changeup | 28% | 78.7 |
| Slider | 14% | 83.1 |
| Curveball | 12% | 73.1 |
| Sinker | 1% | 91.8 |
Vásquez arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 32% | 95.1 |
| Cutter | 24% | 91.0 |
| Sinker | 17% | 95.1 |
| Changeup | 9% | 88.6 |
| Curveball | 8% | 84.0 |
| Slider | 6% | 86.0 |
| Sweeper | 5% | 84.3 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.706OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
CHC·
SD+4072nd
Run differential
+27014th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Matthew Boyd is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Padres?+
Randy Vásquez is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
9:40 PM ET at Petco Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Petco Park, home of the San Diego Padres.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Matthew Boyd is at 52; Randy Vásquez is at 46. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.