Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handRaysTampa has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthRaysTampa leads 62–49 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Baz allows the lower home-run rate: 0.75 vs 1.36 per nine.
·Jax owns a 9.3 K/9 compared with Baz's 8.0.
·Baz owns the lower FIP, 3.39 to 3.96.
·The WHIP gap favors Jax, 1.24 to 1.33.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Jax | Baz | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 91 | 96 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.96 | 3.39 | |
| WAR | 1.0 | 3.5 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Jax arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sweeper | 25% | 87.6 |
| Changeup | 23% | 91.0 |
| Sinker | 22% | 95.4 |
| Four-seam | 18% | 96.0 |
| Curveball | 9% | 84.9 |
| Cutter | 3% | 92.8 |
Baz arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 34% | 95.9 |
| Knuckle Curve | 33% | 85.3 |
| Cutter | 15% | 89.6 |
| Changeup | 9% | 87.7 |
| Sinker | 9% | 95.3 |
| Fastball | 0% | 79.6 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.755OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.707OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
TB·
BAL+22811th
Run differential
+20516th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Griffin Jax is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Shane Baz is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:35 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Where is the game being played?+
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, home of the Baltimore Orioles.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Griffin Jax is at 52; Shane Baz is at 58. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.