Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCardinalsMay owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handMarlinsMiami owns a .743 OPS vs RHP, 7th in MLB; St. ranks 29th vs RHP.
Team strengthMarlinsMiami leads 53–41 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·May carries a 5.88 road ERA, compared with Paddack's 10.13 mark at home.
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
May arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 25% | 96.9 |
| Cutter | 24% | 93.3 |
| Sinker | 20% | 96.6 |
| Sweeper | 18% | 86.0 |
| Curveball | 7% | 83.5 |
| Changeup | 6% | 90.2 |
Paddack arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 34% | 92.9 |
| Changeup | 27% | 84.8 |
| Cutter | 13% | 86.4 |
| Curveball | 11% | 76.9 |
| Sweeper | 8% | 79.3 |
| Sinker | 6% | 92.9 |
| Slider | 0% | 82.3 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.688OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.743OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
STL·
MIA+22718th
Run differential
+27211th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Cardinals?+
Dustin May is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Chris Paddack is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at loanDepot park.
Where is the game being played?+
loanDepot park, home of the Miami Marlins.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Dustin May is at 50; Chris Paddack is at 35. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.