Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherGiantsSan has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Mahle leads in P-Score, K/9 and FIP.
Offense vs handRaysTampa has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthRaysTampa leads 67–43 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Mahle enters with a 3.91 ERA compared with Matz's 5.57.
·Mahle owns a 8.3 K/9 compared with Matz's 6.6.
·Mahle allows the lower home-run rate: 1.17 vs 1.66 per nine.
·Mahle enters with a 5.61 road ERA; Matz owns a 6.75 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Mahle | Matz | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 95 | 137 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.95 | 5.16 | |
| WAR | 2.0 | -0.1 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Mahle arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 48% | 92.8 |
| Splitter | 29% | 86.2 |
| Cutter | 16% | 87.8 |
| Slider | 6% | 84.9 |
| Sinker | 1% | 91.9 |
Matz arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sinker | 50% | 93.5 |
| Changeup | 29% | 83.0 |
| Curveball | 12% | 78.8 |
| Slider | 8% | 82.4 |
| Cutter | 0% | 88.2 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.669OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.755OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
SF·
TB+15324th
Run differential
+2729th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Giants?+
Tyler Mahle is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Steven Matz is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:40 PM ET at Tropicana Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Tyler Mahle is at 59; Steven Matz is at 36. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.