Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherMarinersThe starters are close overall, but Hancock owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handPadresSan has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthPadresSan leads 55–44 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Hancock strikes out 2.5 more batters per nine innings.
·Hancock allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.14 WHIP compared with 1.30.
·Vásquez allows the lower home-run rate: 1.07 vs 1.30 per nine.
·Vásquez enters with a 3.80 road ERA; Hancock owns a 3.25 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Vásquez | Hancock | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 99 | 92 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 4.29 | 4.00 | |
| WAR | 1.2 | 1.7 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Vásquez arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 31% | 95.1 |
| Cutter | 24% | 91.0 |
| Sinker | 17% | 95.1 |
| Changeup | 8% | 88.6 |
| Curveball | 8% | 84.0 |
| Slider | 7% | 86.1 |
| Sweeper | 5% | 84.3 |
Hancock arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 39% | 95.4 |
| Sinker | 23% | 94.8 |
| Sweeper | 16% | 77.2 |
| Cutter | 12% | 85.8 |
| Changeup | 5% | 87.1 |
| Curveball | 4% | 76.1 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.723OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.712OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
SD·
SEA+24614th
Run differential
+15626th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Padres?+
Randy Vásquez is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Mariners?+
Emerson Hancock is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
9:40 PM ET at T-Mobile Park.
Where is the game being played?+
T-Mobile Park, home of the Seattle Mariners.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Randy Vásquez is at 46; Emerson Hancock is at 57. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.