INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsAL West / AL Central

Houston Astros 0, Kansas City Royals 4

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

2:10 PM ET · Kauffman StadiumStats updated Jun 15, 3:02 AM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score50
Houston Astros
75–74 · 1st AL West · T-Score 50
0
0–4
FINAL
Kansas City Royals
66–83 · 5th AL Central · T-Score 40
4
T-Score40
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRoyalsKolek leads Arrighetti in P-Score (47 vs 39), WHIP and FIP.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .001 difference in OPS.
Starter formAstrosArrighetti has a 1.88 ERA over his last five starts, while Kolek is at 3.48.
Recent formAstrosHouston has won 6 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
PowerAstrosHouston has 96 home runs this season, 32 more than Kansas.

Starting pitchers

HOU
Spencer Arrighetti RHP
Spencer Arrighetti
Houston Astros
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.99
157th
WHIP
1.37
139th
K/9
8.63
82nd
BB/9
5.08
202nd
P-Score39i
FIP
5.46
HR/9
1.44
153rd
OPS/R
0.631
IP
106.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.19
Road ERA6.48
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.88
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
60
KC
Stephen Kolek RHP
Stephen Kolek
Kansas City Royals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.50
128th
WHIP
1.24
82nd
K/9
5.67
207th
BB/9
2.00
15th
P-Score47i
FIP
4.55
HR/9
1.33
134th
OPS/R
0.754
IP
54.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.65
Road ERA4.30
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.48
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
40
How the starters differ
·Arrighetti strikes out 3.0 more batters per nine innings.
·Kolek walks 3.1 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Kolek owns the lower FIP, 4.55 to 5.46.
·Kolek has completed a quality start in 67% of starts, compared with 50% for Arrighetti.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricArrighettiKolekNote
ERA−126105Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP5.464.55
WAR-0.10.5Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Arrighetti arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Curveball34%76.5
Four-seam29%92.4
Sweeper12%79.7
Sinker10%92.2
Changeup7%84.2
Cutter7%87.8
Slider1%82.2
Kolek arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam28%94.3
Sinker22%93.7
Slider16%85.6
Cutter12%90.3
Changeup12%87.1
Sweeper9%79.9

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Astros vs RHP (Stephen Kolek)
12th
in MLB
0.726OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Royals vs RHP (Spencer Arrighetti)
13th
in MLB
0.725OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page

Team comparison

OffenseHOUHOU·KCKC
AVG.240 20th.246 13th
OPS.722 11th.717 17th
Home runs197 5th155 24th
Runs669 15th633 22nd
OBP.314 20th.316 17th
SLG.408 7th.401 17th
PitchingHOUHOU·KCKC
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.55vs4.63
HOUKC
WHIP1.35vs1.39
HOUKC
K/98.8vs7.4
HOUKC
HR Allowed192vs181
HOUKC
ResultsHOUHOU·KCKC
+20115th
Run differential
+11527th
75–74 Record66–83
6–4 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Houston Astros (6–4)
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
Kansas City Royals (5–5)
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—3
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Astros?+
Spencer Arrighetti (2.57 ERA, 7–2) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Royals?+
Stephen Kolek (2.68 ERA, 4–1) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:10 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Kauffman Stadium, home of the Kansas City Royals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Astros and Royals performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Royals 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Spencer Arrighetti is at 39; Stephen Kolek is at 47. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.