INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central

Cincinnati Reds 7, Pittsburgh Pirates 17

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

4:05 PM ET · PNC ParkStats availableFinal lineups locked
T-Score29
Cincinnati Reds
71–82 · 5th NL Central · T-Score 29
7
7–17
FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
76–77 · 3rd NL Central · T-Score 53
17
T-Score53
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPiratesMlodzinski owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handPiratesPittsburgh has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthPiratesPittsburgh leads 53–29 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.

Starting pitchers

CIN
Rhett Lowder RHP
Rhett Lowder
Cincinnati Reds
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.79
194th
WHIP
1.52
191st
K/9
7.09
157th
BB/9
3.69
144th
P-Score38i
FIP
4.78
HR/9
1.30
128th
OPS/R
0.762
IP
124.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.16
Road ERA7.44
Last 5 starts
PIT
Carmen Mlodzinski RHP
Carmen Mlodzinski
Pittsburgh Pirates
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.90
93rd
WHIP
1.38
147th
K/9
6.96
168th
BB/9
3.14
111th
P-Score45i
FIP
3.62
HR/9
0.69
19th
OPS/R
0.607
IP
117.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.09
Road ERA3.56
Last 5 starts
How the starters differ
·Mlodzinski enters with a 3.90 ERA compared with Lowder's 5.79.
·Mlodzinski allows the lower home-run rate: 0.69 vs 1.30 per nine.
·The WHIP gap favors Mlodzinski, 1.38 to 1.52.
·Lowder enters with a 7.44 road ERA; Mlodzinski owns a 4.09 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricLowderMlodzinskiNote
ERA−13589Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.783.62
WAR1.21.7Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Lowder arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker29%93.1
Slider27%85.1
Four-seam21%93.7
Changeup20%86.5
Curveball3%80.8
Sweeper0%83.2
Mlodzinski arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam27%95.1
Splitter26%85.8
Sinker18%94.4
Curveball11%83.9
Sweeper11%83.5
Cutter4%92.2
Slider4%90.3

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Reds vs RHP (Carmen Mlodzinski)
28th
in MLB
0.690OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Pirates vs RHP (Rhett Lowder)
6th
in MLB
0.751OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Lineups not announced

Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.

Team comparison

ResultsCINCIN·PITPIT
+9528th
Run differential
+24413th
71–82 Record76–77
Last 10 games
Cincinnati Reds (0–0)
Pittsburgh Pirates (0–0)
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
0—0
0 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Reds?+
Rhett Lowder is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Pirates?+
Carmen Mlodzinski is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:05 PM ET at PNC Park.
Where is the game being played?+
PNC Park, home of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Rhett Lowder is at 38; Carmen Mlodzinski is at 45. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.