FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / AL Central

Cincinnati Reds 4, Cleveland Guardians 7

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

6:10 PM ET · Progressive FieldStats availableFinal lineups locked
T-Score29
72–84 · 5th NL Central · T-Score 29
4
47
FINAL
81–75 · 1st AL Central · T-Score 54
7
T-Score54
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherGuardiansCantillo owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handRedsCincinnati has produced the stronger offense against left-handed pitching.
Team strengthGuardiansCleveland leads 54–29 in T-Score.

Starting pitchers

2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
6.79
215th
WHIP
1.67
211th
K/9
6.32
194th
BB/9
3.00
96th
P-Score35i
FIP
4.86
HR/9
1.42
150th
OPS/R
0.830
IP
57.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA10.13
Road ERA3.86
Last 5 starts
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.74
78th
WHIP
1.44
163rd
K/9
9.76
41st
BB/9
4.62
201st
P-Score51i
FIP
4.20
HR/9
0.99
69th
OPS/R
0.767
IP
154.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.82
Road ERA3.95
Last 5 starts
How the starters differ
·Cantillo strikes out 3.4 more batters per nine innings.
·Cantillo allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.44 WHIP compared with 1.67.
·Cantillo enters with a 3.74 ERA compared with Paddack's 6.79.
·Cantillo allows the lower home-run rate: 0.99 vs 1.42 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricPaddackCantilloNote
ERA−15997Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.864.20
WAR0.21.6Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Paddack arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam34%92.9
Changeup27%84.8
Cutter13%86.4
Curveball11%76.9
Sweeper8%79.3
Sinker6%92.9
Slider0%82.3
Cantillo arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam33%92.2
Curveball30%80.0
Changeup24%80.9
Cutter8%87.0
Slider4%82.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

9th
in MLB
0.730OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
25th
in MLB
0.702OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Lineups not announced

Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.

Team comparison

ResultsCINCIN·CLECLE
+10029th
Run differential
+21118th
72–84 Record81–75
Last 10 games
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
00
0 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Reds?+
Chris Paddack is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Guardians?+
Joey Cantillo is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:10 PM ET at Progressive Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Progressive Field, home of the Cleveland Guardians.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Chris Paddack is at 35; Joey Cantillo is at 51. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.