Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherSoxBoston has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Gray leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .006 difference in OPS.
Team strengthSoxBoston leads 56–35 in T-Score.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Gray allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.16 WHIP compared with 1.46.
·Gray enters with a 2.82 ERA compared with Lugo's 5.06.
·Gray owns a 8.1 K/9 compared with Lugo's 7.0.
·Gray allows the lower home-run rate: 0.88 vs 1.22 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Gray | Lugo | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 65 | 117 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.45 | 4.16 | |
| WAR | 3.2 | 2.1 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Gray arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sinker | 22% | 92.0 |
| Sweeper | 20% | 84.8 |
| Cutter | 19% | 88.3 |
| Four-seam | 17% | 91.6 |
| Curveball | 16% | 79.6 |
| Changeup | 6% | 86.2 |
| Slow Curve | 0% | 74.1 |
Lugo arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sinker | 19% | 91.4 |
| Four-seam | 16% | 91.6 |
| Cutter | 16% | 89.8 |
| Curveball | 15% | 77.2 |
| Sweeper | 11% | 79.1 |
| Slider | 9% | 84.2 |
| Changeup | 9% | 85.1 |
| Slow Curve | 2% | 69.2 |
| Slurve | 1% | 77.3 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.715OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.721OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
BOS·
KC+2758th
Run differential
+12527th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Sonny Gray is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Royals?+
Seth Lugo is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Kauffman Stadium, home of the Kansas City Royals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Sonny Gray is at 67; Seth Lugo is at 48. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.