Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherBravesHolmes owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handBravesAtlanta owns a .730 OPS vs RHP, 11th in MLB; Cincinnati ranks 27th vs RHP.
Team strengthBravesAtlanta leads 57–26 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Holmes averages 0.6 more innings per start.
·Holmes carries a 2.46 road ERA, compared with Paddack's 10.13 mark at home.
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Holmes arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Slider | 36% | 85.4 |
| Four-seam | 28% | 94.2 |
| Sinker | 12% | 93.2 |
| Cutter | 8% | 92.1 |
| Curveball | 8% | 82.9 |
| Changeup | 7% | 89.3 |
Paddack arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 34% | 92.9 |
| Changeup | 27% | 84.8 |
| Cutter | 13% | 86.4 |
| Curveball | 11% | 76.9 |
| Sweeper | 8% | 79.3 |
| Sinker | 6% | 92.9 |
| Slider | 0% | 82.3 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.730OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.693OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
ATL·
CIN+32910th
Run differential
+15529th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Braves?+
Grant Holmes is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Chris Paddack is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Great American Ball Park, home of the Cincinnati Reds.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Grant Holmes is at 49; Chris Paddack is at 35. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.