Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherBrewersPatrick owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handBrewersMilwaukee owns a .759 OPS vs RHP, 2th in MLB; Arizona ranks 26th vs RHP.
Team strengthBrewersMilwaukee leads 78–49 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Patrick owns the lower FIP, 4.03 to 5.40.
·Patrick allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.24 WHIP compared with 1.46.
·Patrick allows the lower home-run rate: 0.93 vs 1.56 per nine.
·Patrick strikes out 1.6 more batters per nine innings.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Kelly | Patrick | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 118 | 78 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 5.40 | 4.03 | |
| WAR | -0.2 | 0.9 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Kelly arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Changeup | 28% | 88.5 |
| Four-seam | 28% | 92.1 |
| Cutter | 13% | 91.0 |
| Curveball | 12% | 82.5 |
| Slider | 10% | 86.3 |
| Sinker | 10% | 92.4 |
Patrick arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Cutter | 43% | 89.9 |
| Four-seam | 25% | 95.6 |
| Sinker | 23% | 95.5 |
| Slurve | 8% | 86.0 |
| Changeup | 1% | 90.8 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.697OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.759OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
AZ·
MIL+26216th
Run differential
+4081st
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Diamondbacks?+
Merrill Kelly is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Chad Patrick is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:40 PM ET at American Family Field.
Where is the game being played?+
American Family Field, home of the Milwaukee Brewers.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Merrill Kelly is at 40; Chad Patrick is at 52. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.