Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRedsBurns leads Griffin in P-Score (70 vs 58), K/9 and FIP.
Offense vs handEvenBoth offenses perform near the same level against the opposing starter's handedness.
Team strengthNationalsWashington leads 49–30 in T-Score.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Burns strikes out 2.6 more batters per nine innings.
·Burns owns the lower FIP, 3.09 to 4.10.
·Griffin has been more vulnerable to home runs, allowing 0.36 more per nine innings.
·Griffin has the stronger command profile, with a 2.4 BB/9 versus 3.1.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Griffin | Burns | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 86 | 64 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 4.10 | 3.09 | |
| WAR | 2.2 | 4.4 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Griffin arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Cutter | 33% | 88.5 |
| Four-seam | 16% | 91.5 |
| Sweeper | 14% | 80.1 |
| Changeup | 11% | 82.4 |
| Sinker | 10% | 91.4 |
| Curveball | 9% | 77.8 |
| Splitter | 6% | 81.3 |
Burns arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 56% | 97.6 |
| Slider | 39% | 90.2 |
| Changeup | 5% | 90.1 |
| Sinker | 0% | 97.1 |
| Curveball | 0% | 81.9 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.737OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.750OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
WSH·
CIN+2575th
Run differential
+7428th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Nationals?+
Foster Griffin is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Chase Burns is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
12:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Great American Ball Park, home of the Cincinnati Reds.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Foster Griffin is at 58; Chase Burns is at 70. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.