Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPhilliesNola holds a modest edge in P-Score and WHIP, while the ERA gap is small.
Offense vs handCubsChicago owns a .757 OPS vs RHP, 3th in MLB; Philadelphia ranks 23th vs RHP.
Team strengthCubsChicago leads 51–39 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Rea averages 0.5 more innings per start.
·Nola carries a 3.84 road ERA, compared with Rea's 3.24 mark at home.
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Nola arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Knuckle Curve | 33% | 78.4 |
| Four-seam | 24% | 92.3 |
| Sinker | 18% | 91.6 |
| Changeup | 16% | 85.6 |
| Cutter | 8% | 86.2 |
| Slider | 1% | 83.2 |
Rea arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 42% | 93.8 |
| Changeup | 18% | 87.7 |
| Slider | 11% | 86.2 |
| Sweeper | 9% | 82.9 |
| Sinker | 8% | 92.5 |
| Cutter | 6% | 87.2 |
| Curveball | 6% | 80.1 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.707OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
PHI·
CHC+34716th
Run differential
+4861st
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Aaron Nola is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Colin Rea is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:40 PM ET at Wrigley Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Wrigley Field, home of the Chicago Cubs.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Aaron Nola is at 53; Colin Rea is at 45. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.