Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherAstrosBrown leads Bello in P-Score (57 vs 39), WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handEvenBoth offenses perform near the same level against the opposing starter's handedness.
Team strengthSoxBoston leads 59–49 in T-Score.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Brown strikes out 3.0 more batters per nine innings.
·Brown enters with a 3.52 ERA compared with Bello's 4.82.
·Brown allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.30 WHIP compared with 1.45.
·Bello carries a 5.71 road ERA, compared with Brown's 3.71 mark at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Bello | Brown | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 113 | 85 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 4.21 | 4.11 | |
| WAR | 0.6 | 1.3 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Bello arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sinker | 40% | 95.2 |
| Changeup | 20% | 89.0 |
| Cutter | 15% | 87.5 |
| Sweeper | 13% | 85.9 |
| Four-seam | 8% | 95.4 |
| Curveball | 4% | 83.4 |
Brown arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 32% | 96.2 |
| Sinker | 30% | 96.0 |
| Knuckle Curve | 19% | 83.4 |
| Slider | 10% | 90.8 |
| Changeup | 10% | 87.5 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.717OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.727OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
BOS·
HOU+2755th
Run differential
+21017th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Brayan Bello is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Astros?+
Hunter Brown is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
8:10 PM ET at Daikin Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Daikin Park, home of the Houston Astros.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Brayan Bello is at 39; Hunter Brown is at 57. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.