New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians (2026-06-08). Will Warren vs Gavin Williams at Progressive Field.

Will Warren, pitching for the New York Yankees, enters this contest with a 3.29 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 68.1 innings in 13 starts, demonstrating a controlled approach with a 9.75 K/9 and 2.77 BB/9. His ERA trend is currently downward, signaling improved form, and he has maintained a 33.3% quality start rate with no recorded blow-up outings. Warren's recent performance includes a dominant April 18 start where he allowed only two earned runs over seven innings, striking out eleven without a walk.

Gavin Williams, starting for the Cleveland Guardians, presents a similar profile with a 3.26 ERA and an excellent 1.09 WHIP across 85.2 innings in 14 starts, featuring a slightly higher 10.4 K/9 and a comparable 2.84 BB/9. Despite an upward trend in his ERA, Williams also holds a 33.3% quality start percentage, and his recent outings include a strong April 18 performance where he allowed one earned run over seven innings with eleven strikeouts and one walk. However, Williams carries a 16.7% blow-up rate, indicating a higher propensity for an occasional rough outing compared to Warren's clean record in that metric.

The New York Yankees offense demonstrates significant power and efficiency, reflected in their 0.763 OPS, 327 runs scored, and a league-leading 94 home runs, alongside a 0.242 batting average and 0.329 on-base percentage. Complementing this offensive prowess, the Yankees' pitching staff has been highly effective, posting a collective 3.28 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP, backed by an 8.65 K/9 and only 55 home runs allowed, contributing to their recent success of winning eight of their last ten games.

Conversely, the Cleveland Guardians' offense shows a more modest profile with a 0.689 OPS, 275 runs scored, and 63 home runs, with a 0.231 batting average and 0.316 on-base percentage. On the mound, the Guardians' pitching staff maintains a 3.77 team ERA and a 1.26 WHIP, with a 9.33 K/9, though they have allowed 78 home runs, and have secured six wins in their last ten games.

Recent head-to-head matchups between these two clubs in 2025 were evenly split at three wins apiece, with many contests featuring low offensive output, such as scores of 0-4, 4-0, 2-3, and 5-1. This historical trend of lower-scoring affairs aligns with the strong starting pitching matchup for this game, as both Will Warren and Gavin Williams have demonstrated capabilities for limiting runs. The absence of an available total line prevents direct comparison with market expectations, but the historical context suggests a game where runs may be at a premium.