LIVE · T6Official lineupAL Central / AL East

Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview

October 13, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form and weather at Tropicana Field.

8:00 PM ET · Tropicana FieldStats updated Oct 13, 5:00 PM ETLineups confirmed Oct 13, 5:00 PM

T-Score52

0–3

LIVE · T6

T-Score57

LIVE · T6

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation

CategoryComparisonWhy

Starting pitcherGuardiansMessick owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.

Offense vs handEvenBoth offenses perform near the same level against the opposing starter's handedness.

LineupEvenBoth confirmed lineups are close to their normal everyday configuration.

Recent formGuardiansCleveland has been the better recent team, at 6–4 over the last 10.

Plate disciplineGuardiansCleveland has drawn 574 walks this season, 60 more than Tampa.

Starting pitchers

Parker Messick LHP

Cleveland Guardians

2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)

ERA

2.56

10th

WHIP

1.06

20th

K/9

9.32

54th

BB/9

2.37

41st

P-Score75i

FIP

3.07

HR/9

0.82

33rd

OPS/R

0.599

186.1

2026 ERA splits

Home ERA2.90

Road ERA2.22

Last 5 starts

Freddy Peralta RHP

Tampa Bay Rays

2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)

ERA

4.42

133rd

WHIP

1.33

127th

K/9

8.31

103rd

BB/9

3.36

132nd

P-Score54i

FIP

4.28

HR/9

1.22

121st

OPS/R

0.688

169.0

2026 ERA splits

Home ERA3.53

Road ERA5.42

Last 5 starts

How the starters differ

·Messick allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.06 WHIP compared with 1.33.

·Messick enters with a 2.56 ERA compared with Peralta's 4.42.

·Messick strikes out 1.0 more batters per nine innings.

·Messick allows the lower home-run rate: 0.82 vs 1.22 per nine.

Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent

Metric	Messick	Peralta	Note
ERA−	62	107	Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP	3.07	4.28
WAR	4.9	1.9	Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Messick arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo
Four-seam	42%	94.4
Changeup	24%	85.9
Sinker	15%	92.8
Curveball	8%	79.3
Slider	7%	87.0
Cutter	5%	90.6

Peralta arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo
Four-seam	53%	94.3
Changeup	23%	87.4
Curveball	13%	79.5
Sweeper	6%	82.4
Slider	4%	83.1
Slow Curve	1%	74.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Guardians vs RHP (Freddy Peralta)

24th

in MLB

0.706OPS

.600.700.800.9001.000

Rays vs LHP (Parker Messick)

25th

in MLB

0.679OPS

.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated 5:00 PM ET

CLE

.720

−30 ptsOPS edge

.750

Slight edge: TB

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Official lineupOfficial batting order.Full lineup page

Cleveland GuardiansOfficial lineupvs RHP Freddy Peralta

#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Peralta (BvP)

1Steven KwanLLF53.7313.7871-for-9Very small sample

2José RamírezS3B60.68812.6252-for-6Very small sample

3Chase DeLauterLRF79.82016.808No MLB historyNo history

4Jo AdellRRF63.69923.5930-for-3Very small sample

5Nathaniel LoweL1B65.76117.8851-for-2Very small sample

6Travis BazzanaL2B61.74315.846No MLB historyNo history

7Petey HalpinLCF31.5944.676No MLB historyNo history

8Austin HedgesRC49.7026.6540-for-2Very small sample

9Brayan RocchioSSS54.70415.7490-for-2Very small sample

1Steven Kwan LF · L.282 / .731 · 3 HRvs hand .787 · 1-for-9 · Very small sample53H-Score 2José Ramírez 3B · S.235 / .688 · 12 HRvs hand .625 · 2-for-6 · Very small sample60H-Score 3Chase DeLauter RF · L.287 / .820 · 16 HRvs hand .808 · No MLB history · No history79H-Score 4Jo Adell RF · R.240 / .699 · 23 HRvs hand .593 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample63H-Score 5Nathaniel Lowe 1B · L.252 / .761 · 17 HRvs hand .885 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample65H-Score 6Travis Bazzana 2B · L.245 / .743 · 15 HRvs hand .846 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score 7Petey Halpin CF · L.225 / .594 · 4 HRvs hand .676 · No MLB history · No history31H-Score 8Austin Hedges C · R.247 / .702 · 6 HRvs hand .654 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample49H-Score 9Brayan Rocchio SS · S.253 / .704 · 15 HRvs hand .749 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample54H-Score

Tampa Bay RaysOfficial lineupvs LHP Parker Messick

#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Messick (BvP)

1Yandy DíazRDH78.80522.7803-for-6Very small sample

2Jonathan ArandaL1B67.79222.6780-for-3Very small sample

3Junior CamineroR3B87.88442.9161-for-9Very small sample

4Victor Mesa Jr.LRF70.82514.868No MLB historyNo history

5Jonny DeLucaRRF47.72911.6871-for-2Very small sample

6Chandler SimpsonLLF43.6890.6331-for-8Very small sample

7Ben WilliamsonR2B38.6203.5850-for-2Very small sample

8Liam HicksLC61.80118.498No MLB historyNo history

9Taylor WallsSSS34.6072.5190-for-3Very small sample

1Yandy Díaz DH · R.293 / .805 · 22 HRvs hand .780 · 3-for-6 · Very small sample78H-Score 2Jonathan Aranda 1B · L.274 / .792 · 22 HRvs hand .678 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample67H-Score 3Junior Caminero 3B · R.276 / .884 · 42 HRvs hand .916 · 1-for-9 · Very small sample87H-Score 4Victor Mesa Jr. RF · L.260 / .825 · 14 HRvs hand .868 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score 5Jonny DeLuca RF · R.266 / .729 · 11 HRvs hand .687 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample47H-Score 6Chandler Simpson LF · L.306 / .689 · 0 HRvs hand .633 · 1-for-8 · Very small sample43H-Score 7Ben Williamson 2B · R.238 / .620 · 3 HRvs hand .585 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample38H-Score 8Liam Hicks C · L.284 / .801 · 18 HRvs hand .498 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score 9Taylor Walls SS · S.222 / .607 · 2 HRvs hand .519 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample34H-Score

Team comparison

Offense

CLE·

AVG.239 22nd.258 2nd

OPS.696 26th.728 8th

Home runs162 27th169 22nd

Runs678 24th736 12th

OBP.316 17th.326 5th

SLG.380 27th.402 13th

Pitching

CLE·

1stMLB rank30th

ERA3.77vs3.70

CLETB

WHIP1.26vs1.14

CLETB

K/99.6vs8.3

CLETB

HR Allowed175vs201

CLETB

Results

CLE·

+28519th

Run differential

+3785th

85–77 Record98–64

6–4 Last 106–4

Last 10 games

Cleveland Guardians (6–4)

Tampa Bay Rays (6–4)

2026 head-to-head

Season Series

5—2

7 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Guardians?+

Parker Messick is listed as the starter.

Who is starting for the Rays?+

Freddy Peralta is listed as the starter.

What time does the game start?+

8:00 PM ET at Tropicana Field.

Where is the game being played?+

Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.

Are the lineups confirmed?+

Yes. Both batting orders on this page are official (posted Oct 13, 5:00 PM ET).

How have the Guardians and Rays performed head-to-head?+

Season series: Rays 2–5 this season.

How do the starters compare on P-Score?+

Parker Messick is at 75; Freddy Peralta is at 54. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.