INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
CANCELLEDProjected — not officialAL East

Boston Red Sox   vs   New York Yankees Preview

October 1, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form and weather at Yankee Stadium.

8:00 PM ET · Yankee StadiumGame-day snapshot Oct 2, 1:30 AM ETLineups not confirmedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score45
Boston Red Sox
87–75 · 3rd AL East · T-Score 45
–
–––
CANCELLED
New York Yankees
93–68 · 2nd AL East · T-Score 54
–
T-Score54
CANCELLED

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handYankeesNew has produced the stronger offense against left-handed pitching.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Starter formSoxSuarez has a 2.70 ERA over his last five starts, while Cole is at 5.08.
PowerYankeesNew has 223 home runs this season, 60 more than Boston.

Starting pitchers

BOS
Ranger Suarez LHP
Ranger Suarez
Boston Red Sox
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.22
36th
WHIP
1.19
68th
K/9
8.49
93rd
BB/9
2.79
75th
P-Score64i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.61
14th
OPS/R
–
IP
148.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.70
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
NYY
Gerrit Cole RHP
Gerrit Cole
New York Yankees
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.61
61st
WHIP
1.10
32nd
K/9
9.28
57th
BB/9
1.77
8th
P-Score62i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.56
175th
OPS/R
–
IP
127.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.08
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
8
How the starters differ
·Suarez allows the lower home-run rate: 0.61 vs 1.56 per nine.
·The WHIP gap favors Cole, 1.10 to 1.19.
·Suarez has produced a quality start in 40% of outings versus 20%.
·Suarez enters with a 2.85 road ERA; Cole owns a 3.86 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricSuarezColeNote
Career vs opponent4.88 ERA, 6 GS6.36 ERA, 14 GSCareer history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Suarez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker24%90.3
Four-seam23%91.5
Cutter19%88.0
Curveball17%75.7
Changeup12%81.1
Slider5%78.9
Cole arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam49%95.8
Slider20%89.0
Knuckle Curve14%82.7
Changeup13%85.0
Sinker4%93.3
Cutter0%92.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Sox vs RHP (Gerrit Cole)
22nd
in MLB
0.711OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Yankees vs LHP (Ranger Suarez)
8th
in MLB
0.733OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Projected — not officialOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page

Team comparison

OffenseBOSBOS·NYYNYY
AVG.245 14th.235 26th
OPS.717 19th.720 13th
Home runs163 26th223 2nd
Runs689 23rd739 10th
OBP.319 12th.311 24th
SLG.398 20th.409 7th
PitchingBOSBOS·NYYNYY
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.54vs3.23
BOSNYY
WHIP1.23vs1.17
BOSNYY
K/98.7vs9.1
BOSNYY
HR Allowed153vs165
BOSNYY
BullpenBOSBOS·NYYNYY
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.31vs3.24
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.22vs1.22
no league rank
Saves46vs45
BOSNYY
ResultsBOSBOS·NYYNYY
+37915th
Run differential
+4505th
87–75 Record93–68
5–5 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Boston Red Sox (5–5)
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
New York Yankees (5–5)
L
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
9—4
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Sox?+
Ranger Suarez (3.22 ERA, 8–5) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Yankees?+
Gerrit Cole (3.61 ERA, 10–9) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
8:00 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Yankee Stadium, home of the New York Yankees.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Sox and Yankees performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Yankees 4–9 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Ranger Suarez is at 64; Gerrit Cole is at 62. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.