Today · 8:00 PM ETProjected — not officialAL East

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Preview

October 1, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form and weather at Yankee Stadium.

8:00 PM ET · Yankee StadiumStats updated Sep 30, 8:01 AM ETLineups not confirmed

T-Score57

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–––

First pitch 8:00 PM ET

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T-Score71

First pitch 8:00 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation

CategoryComparisonWhy

Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.

Offense vs handYankeesNew has produced the stronger offense against left-handed pitching.

Starter formSoxSuarez has a 2.70 ERA over his last five starts, while Cole is at 5.08.

Team strengthYankeesNew leads 71–57 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.

PowerYankeesNew has 223 home runs this season, 60 more than Boston.

Starting pitchers

Ranger Suarez LHP

Boston Red Sox

2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)

ERA

3.22

36th

WHIP

1.19

68th

K/9

8.49

92nd

BB/9

2.79

75th

P-Score64i

FIP

3.16

HR/9

0.61

14th

OPS/R

0.609

148.1

2026 ERA splits

Home ERA3.66

Road ERA2.85

Last 5 starts

ERA

2.70

QUALITY
START %

40%

(2 of 5)

DAYS
REST

Gerrit Cole RHP

New York Yankees

2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)

ERA

3.61

61st

WHIP

1.10

32nd

K/9

9.28

57th

BB/9

1.77

8th

P-Score62i

FIP

3.93

HR/9

1.56

173rd

OPS/R

0.702

127.0

2026 ERA splits

Home ERA3.86

Road ERA3.41

Last 5 starts

ERA

5.08

QUALITY
START %

20%

(1 of 5)

DAYS
REST

How the starters differ

·Suarez allows the lower home-run rate: 0.61 vs 1.56 per nine.

·Suarez owns the lower FIP, 3.16 to 3.93.

·The WHIP gap favors Cole, 1.10 to 1.19.

·Suarez has produced a quality start in 40% of outings versus 20%.

Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent

Metric	Suarez	Cole	Note
ERA−	75	87	Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP	3.16	3.93
WAR	3.8	2.1	Season value.
Career vs opponent	4.88 ERA, 6 GS	6.36 ERA, 14 GS	Career history against this opponent.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Suarez arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo
Sinker	24%	90.3
Four-seam	23%	91.5
Cutter	19%	88.0
Curveball	17%	75.7
Changeup	12%	81.1
Slider	5%	78.9

Cole arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo
Four-seam	49%	95.8
Slider	20%	89.0
Knuckle Curve	14%	82.7
Changeup	13%	85.0
Sinker	4%	93.3
Cutter	0%	92.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Sox vs RHP (Gerrit Cole)

22nd

in MLB

0.711OPS

.600.700.800.9001.000

Yankees vs LHP (Ranger Suarez)

8th

in MLB

0.733OPS

.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Projected — not officialOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page

Boston Red SoxProjected — not officialvs RHP Gerrit Cole

#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Cole (BvP)

1Willson Contreras—–––No MLB historyNo history

2Curtis Mead—–––No MLB historyNo history

3Mickey Gasper—–––No MLB historyNo history

4Wilyer Abreu—–––No MLB historyNo history

5Ceddanne Rafaela—–––No MLB historyNo history

1Willson Contreras– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Curtis Mead– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Mickey Gasper– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Wilyer Abreu– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Ceddanne Rafaela– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

New York YankeesProjected — not officialvs LHP Ranger Suarez

#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Suarez (BvP)

1Ben Rice—–––No MLB historyNo history

2Aaron Judge—–––No MLB historyNo history

3Luis García Jr.—–––No MLB historyNo history

4Cody Bellinger—–––No MLB historyNo history

5Paul Goldschmidt—–––No MLB historyNo history

1Ben Rice– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Aaron Judge– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Luis García Jr.– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Cody Bellinger– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Paul Goldschmidt– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

Offense

BOS·

NYY

AVG.245 13th.235 26th

OPS.716 19th.720 12th

Home runs163 26th223 2nd

Runs689 23rd739 10th

OBP.319 11th.311 24th

SLG.397 20th.409 6th

Pitching

BOS·

NYY

1stMLB rank30th

ERA3.54vs3.24

BOSNYY

WHIP1.23vs1.17

BOSNYY

K/98.7vs9.1

BOSNYY

HR Allowed153vs165

BOSNYY

Bullpen

BOS·

NYY

1stMLB rank30th

Bullpen ERA3.31vs3.25

no league rank

Bullpen WHIP1.22vs1.22

no league rank

Saves46vs45

BOSNYY

Results

BOS·

NYY

+31410th

Run differential

+3454th

87–75 Record93–68

5–5 Last 105–5

Last 10 games

Boston Red Sox (5–5)

New York Yankees (5–5)

2026 head-to-head

Season Series

9—4

13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Sox?+

Ranger Suarez (3.22 ERA, 8–5) is listed as the starter.

Who is starting for the Yankees?+

Gerrit Cole (3.61 ERA, 10–9) is listed as the starter.

What time does the game start?+

8:00 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.

Where is the game being played?+

Yankee Stadium, home of the New York Yankees.

Are the lineups confirmed?+

Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.

How have the Sox and Yankees performed head-to-head?+

Season series: Yankees 4–9 this season.

How do the starters compare on P-Score?+

Ranger Suarez is at 64; Gerrit Cole is at 62. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.