INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East / NL Central

Baltimore Orioles 8, Cincinnati Reds 5

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:10 PM ET · Great American Ball ParkGame-day snapshot Jul 4, 6:40 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 2, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score50
Baltimore Orioles
79–82 · 4th AL East · T-Score 50
8
8–5
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
75–87 · 5th NL Central · T-Score 27
5
T-Score27
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handOriolesBaltimore has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Recent formRedsCincinnati has won 7 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Team strengthOriolesBaltimore leads 50–27 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
WeatherLow impact77°F, wind 1 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

BAL
Brandon Young RHP
Brandon Young
Baltimore Orioles
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.11
55th
WHIP
1.30
130th
K/9
7.09
134th
BB/9
3.36
140th
P-Score54i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.87
126th
OPS/R
–
IP
72.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.76
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
CIN
Hunter Greene RHP
Hunter Greene
Cincinnati Reds
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
–
221st
WHIP
–
142nd
K/9
–
17th
BB/9
–
94th
P-Score47i
FIP
–
HR/9
–
130th
OPS/R
–
IP
–
Last 5 starts
How the starters differ
·Young averages 2.2 more innings per start.
·Young enters with a 3.27 road ERA; Greene owns a 6.61 ERA at home.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Young arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam41%94.4
Splitter19%84.4
Slider15%84.5
Sinker14%93.8
Curveball12%75.2
Greene arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam52%98.3
Slider32%88.8
Splitter10%86.9
Sinker6%98.3

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Orioles vs RHP (Hunter Greene)
18th
in MLB
0.715OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Reds vs RHP (Brandon Young)
27th
in MLB
0.693OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Baltimore OriolesOfficial lineupvs RHP Hunter Greene
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Greene (BvP)
1Gunnar Henderson—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Adley Rutschman—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Taylor Ward—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Pete Alonso—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Samuel Basallo—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Colton Cowser—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Leody Taveras—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Jackson Holliday—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Blaze Alexander—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Gunnar Henderson– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Adley Rutschman– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Taylor Ward– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Pete Alonso– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Samuel Basallo– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Colton Cowser– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Leody Taveras– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Jackson Holliday– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Blaze Alexander– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Cincinnati RedsOfficial lineupvs RHP Brandon Young
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Young (BvP)
1Elly De La Cruz—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Sal Stewart—–––No MLB historyNo history
3JJ Bleday—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Eugenio Suárez—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Nathaniel Lowe—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Spencer Steer—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Jose Trevino—–––No MLB historyNo history
8TJ Friedl—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Matt McLain—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Elly De La Cruz– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Sal Stewart– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3JJ Bleday– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Eugenio Suárez– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Nathaniel Lowe– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Spencer Steer– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Jose Trevino– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8TJ Friedl– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Matt McLain– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseBALBAL·CINCIN
AVG.234 28th.229 30th
OPS.710 21st.699 25th
Home runs199 10th213 4th
Runs718 17th666 27th
OBP.314 21st.305 30th
SLG.396 23rd.394 25th
PitchingBALBAL·CINCIN
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.07vs4.83
BALCIN
WHIP1.34vs1.44
BALCIN
K/98.2vs8.1
BALCIN
HR Allowed169vs214
BALCIN
ResultsBALBAL·CINCIN
+30212th
Run differential
+14529th
79–82 Record75–87
4–6 Last 107–3
Last 10 games
Baltimore Orioles (4–6)
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
Cincinnati Reds (7–3)
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
1—2
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Brandon Young (3.11 ERA, 6–2) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Hunter Greene is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Great American Ball Park, home of the Cincinnati Reds.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Orioles and Reds performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Reds 2–1 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Brandon Young is at 54; Hunter Greene is at 47. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.