INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East

Toronto Blue Jays 4, Boston Red Sox 3

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

1:35 PM ET · Fenway ParkStats updated Jun 19, 3:01 AM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score46
Toronto Blue Jays
75–77 · 4th AL East · T-Score 46
4
4–3
FINAL
Boston Red Sox
82–69 · 3rd AL East · T-Score 59
3
T-Score59
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherSoxGray owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handEvenBoth offenses perform near the same level against the opposing starter's handedness.
Starter formJaysYesavage has a 1.07 ERA over his last five starts, while Gray is at 4.43.
Recent formJaysToronto has been the better recent team, at 4–6 over the last 10.
Team strengthSoxBoston leads 59–46 in T-Score.

Starting pitchers

TOR
Trey Yesavage RHP
Trey Yesavage
Toronto Blue Jays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.65
62nd
WHIP
1.14
43rd
K/9
8.74
76th
BB/9
4.42
190th
P-Score53i
FIP
4.09
HR/9
0.96
61st
OPS/R
0.613
IP
93.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.20
Road ERA3.14
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.07
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
51
BOS
Sonny Gray RHP
Sonny Gray
Boston Red Sox
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.76
19th
WHIP
1.17
58th
K/9
8.04
114th
BB/9
2.41
44th
P-Score68i
FIP
3.46
HR/9
0.86
43rd
OPS/R
0.675
IP
156.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.91
Road ERA2.62
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.43
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
82
How the starters differ
·Yesavage is on 51 days of rest; Gray is on 82.
·Gray walks 2.0 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Gray enters with a 2.76 ERA compared with Yesavage's 3.65.
·Yesavage carries a 3.14 road ERA, compared with Gray's 2.91 mark at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricYesavageGrayNote
ERA−8864Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.093.46
WAR1.33.2Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Yesavage arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam47%94.3
Splitter29%82.9
Slider25%87.6
Gray arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker22%92.0
Sweeper20%84.8
Cutter19%88.3
Four-seam17%91.6
Curveball16%79.6
Changeup6%86.2
Slow Curve0%74.1

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Jays vs RHP (Sonny Gray)
20th
in MLB
0.713OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Sox vs RHP (Trey Yesavage)
16th
in MLB
0.717OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Toronto Blue JaysProjected — not officialvs RHP Sonny Gray
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Gray (BvP)
1Alejandro Kirk—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Andrés Giménez—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Brandon Valenzuela—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Charles McAdoo—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Davis Schneider—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Alejandro Kirk– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Andrés Giménez– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Brandon Valenzuela– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Charles McAdoo– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Davis Schneider– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseTORTOR·BOSBOS
AVG.248 9th.248 10th
OPS.696 27th.725 9th
Home runs148 27th156 24th
Runs614 29th665 19th
OBP.311 25th.322 9th
SLG.385 26th.403 12th
PitchingTORTOR·BOSBOS
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.94vs3.59
TORBOS
WHIP1.30vs1.24
TORBOS
K/98.8vs8.8
TORBOS
HR Allowed158vs147
TORBOS
ResultsTORTOR·BOSBOS
+16521st
Run differential
+2747th
75–77 Record82–69
4–6 Last 102–8
Last 10 games
Toronto Blue Jays (4–6)
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
Boston Red Sox (2–8)
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
8—5
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Jays?+
Trey Yesavage (3.76 ERA, 3–3) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Sonny Gray (3.12 ERA, 8–1) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:35 PM ET at Fenway Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Fenway Park, home of the Boston Red Sox.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Jays and Sox performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Sox 5–8 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Trey Yesavage is at 53; Sonny Gray is at 68. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.