New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

New York Yankees at Washington Nationals (2026-07-12). Will Warren vs Cade Cavalli at Nationals Park.

Starters — Will Warren: 4.15 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 93.1 IP, 9.06 K/9, 2.99 BB/9, 1.25 HR/9. His last three starts were uneven: 4.0 IP, 6 ER, 3 K, 2 BB on July 7; 5.1 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 0 BB on July 1; and 5.2 IP, 5 ER, 0 K, 3 BB on June 26. The strikeout rate is solid, but the recent game log points to volatility and an upward trend in risk. Cade Cavalli: 3.88 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 92.2 IP, 10.2 K/9, 3.01 BB/9, 0.78 HR/9. His last three starts were 2.1 IP, 3 ER, 3 K, 2 BB on July 5; 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 13 K, 0 BB on June 30; and 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 1 BB on June 25. Cavalli brings the better swing-and-miss profile and stronger home run suppression, though his most recent outing was shortened. His trend is also up.

Teams — New York enters with a .742 OPS, 457 runs scored, a 3.39 team ERA, and a 1.19 team WHIP. The Yankees are 5-5 in their last 10 games. Their offensive line is decent but not overwhelming, while the pitching staff has been the stronger foundation. Washington carries a .759 OPS, 513 runs scored, a 4.75 team ERA, and a 1.40 team WHIP. The Nationals are also 5-5 over their last 10. Washington has been the more productive offense by OPS and total runs, but the staff-wide ERA and WHIP show more traffic allowed and less overall stability than New York’s pitching group.