5.43
ERA
1.35
WHIP
9.4
K/9
69.2
IP
13
GS
4.1
BB/9
vs CIN — career
1.62ERA2GS.135OPP AVG17K
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds
2:0
Final
H2H 8–5
Starting pitchers
5.59
ERA
1.52
WHIP
7.3
K/9
46.2
IP
9
GS
3.5
BB/9
vs MIL — career
0.00ERA2GS.103OPP AVG10K
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season5.43
Last 56.96
↑1.53 ERA worse in last 5
↑ ERA trending up lately
Matchup edge
Nick Lodolo pitching edge·Brewers 8–2 L10
Projected hitters vs LHP / RHP
Brewers vs LHP
Avg OPS 0.8031 hot hitterTop: Vaughn 1.329 · Yelich 0.778 · Perkins 0.698
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Reds vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.690Top: Cruz 0.793 · Myers 0.762 · Dunn 0.720
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Milwaukee Brewers hitters vs LHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
Cincinnati Reds hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
◆ Matchup preview
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds (2026-06-23). Brandon Sproat vs Nick Lodolo at Great American Ball Park.
Brandon Sproat, a right-hander for the Brewers, enters this contest with a 5.94 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP across 63.2 innings pitched in 12 starts this season. His strikeout rate stands at 8.91 K/9, but he has struggled with control, issuing 4.52 BB/9. Sproat's recent trend shows an upward movement in ERA, and he has a low quality start percentage of 16.7, indicating a tendency for shorter outings and higher run totals. Nick Lodolo, the Reds' left-handed starter, carries a 6.12 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 42.2 innings in 8 starts. Lodolo's K/9 is lower at 6.75, but his walk rate of 3.59 BB/9 is slightly better than Sproat's. Lodolo's ERA also shows an upward trend, and while his quality start percentage is higher at 33.3, neither pitcher has consistently demonstrated strong command or run prevention this season.
The Brewers' offense has been productive, posting a .728 OPS and scoring 399 runs this season, supported by a .254 batting average and a .338 on-base percentage. Their pitching staff has been considerably stronger, boasting a 3.40 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP, along with an impressive 9.92 K/9. In contrast, the Reds' offense has struggled with a .700 OPS and 326 runs, hitting for a .227 average and a .309 OBP, though they have hit more home runs with 96 compared to Milwaukee's 68. Cincinnati's pitching has a higher team ERA of 4.53 and a 1.45 WHIP, suggesting a more permeable defense.
Looking at recent head-to-head matchups, the Brewers hold a slight edge over the Reds, winning 8 of their last 13 meetings. The total line for this game is set at 9.5 runs, which aligns with the elevated ERAs and WHIPs of both starting pitchers, suggesting expectations for a higher-scoring affair. Given the offensive capabilities of the Brewers and the struggles of both pitching rotations, particularly the home team's pitching metrics, the total line appears to reflect the potential for runs at Great American Ball Park.
Key facts
◆ Lineup notes
Away batters Jackson Chourio and Andrew Vaughn have the most plate appearances against Nick Lodolo, with Chourio going 2-for-7 for a .286 average and .715 OPS, while Vaughn is 2-for-10 with a .200 average and .600 OPS. Gary Sánchez has a strong 1-for-2 record in 3 plate appearances, resulting in a .500 average and 1.167 OPS. William Contreras is 1-for-6 with a .167 average and .500 OPS, and Joey Ortiz is 1-for-4 with a .250 average and 1.250 OPS. Brice Turang is hitless in 2 at-bats across 3 plate appearances, with a .333 OPS, and Blake Perkins is 0-for-2 with a .000 OPS. Jake Bauers and Cooper Pratt have no MLB history against Lodolo.
Home batters Elly De La Cruz and Noelvi Marte have seen Brandon Sproat before, with De La Cruz going 1-for-3 for a .333 average and 1.000 OPS, and Marte going 1-for-2 in 3 plate appearances for a .500 average and 1.167 OPS. Sal Stewart is 0-for-3 with a .000 OPS. Blake Dunn, JJ Bleday, Nathaniel Lowe, Eugenio Suárez, Jose Trevino, and Edwin Arroyo have no MLB history against Sproat.
The away team has more batters with prior MLB history against the opposing starter, Nick Lodolo, compared to the home team's experience against Brandon Sproat.
Head to head (2025–2026)
8—5
Milwaukee Brewers lead series
13 meetings total
2025-09-28
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers
2–4
MIL
2025-09-27
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers
7–4
CIN
2025-09-26
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers
3–1
CIN
2025-08-17
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds
2–3
CIN
2025-08-16
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds
6–5
MIL
Team picture · 2026
MIL
CIN
Team AVG
0.253
0.225
Team OPS
0.726
0.695
Home runs
68
96
Runs scored
401
326
Team ERA
3.35
4.49
HR allowed
72
103
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