Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers
↑ ERA trending up lately
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers (2026-06-28). Ryan Rolison vs Brandon Woodruff at American Family Field.
Ryan Rolison, the Cubs' left-hander, enters this contest with a 1.82 ERA and 1.11 WHIP across 29.2 innings this season, demonstrating strong control with a 3.94 BB/9 and an 8.8 K/9. His recent trend shows a "down" ERA, indicating improvement, and he has not recorded a blow-up start this season. However, his quality start percentage is 0, suggesting he has not consistently pitched deep into games. Brandon Woodruff, the Brewers' right-hander, boasts a 3.00 ERA and an impressive 0.89 WHIP over 36 innings, with a significantly lower BB/9 of 1.75 and a K/9 of 8.75. Woodruff's ERA trend is "up," suggesting a slight regression in recent outings, but he maintains a 33.3% quality start rate and has also avoided any blow-up starts.
The Cubs' offense features a .242 batting average and a .740 OPS, scoring 409 runs this season, while their pitching staff holds a 4.27 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP, with a 7.93 K/9. The Brewers' offense has a slightly better .253 batting average and a .730 OPS, accumulating 415 runs, indicating a comparable offensive output. On the pitching side, Milwaukee's staff has a superior 3.42 ERA and 1.19 WHIP, complemented by a higher 9.9 K/9, suggesting a more dominant pitching performance overall. The Brewers' pitching staff also allows significantly fewer home runs, with 77 compared to the Cubs' 126.
In their recent head-to-head matchups from 2025, the Cubs and Brewers split their 13 contests, with the Cubs holding a slight edge in wins. Given the strong pitching matchup, particularly from Brandon Woodruff, and the Brewers' generally superior team pitching metrics, recent historical data does not strongly suggest a high-scoring affair. The total line is not available for this specific game.
Seiya Suzuki has a strong history against Woodruff, going 5-for-11 in 13 plate appearances with a 1.371 OPS. Dansby Swanson also performs well, with a .400 average (6-for-15) and a 1.145 OPS in 17 plate appearances. Ian Happ has faced Woodruff extensively, recording 10-for-37 in 41 plate appearances with an .882 OPS. Michael Busch is 1-for-2 in 3 plate appearances with a 1.667 OPS, while Michael Conforto is 2-for-6 in 7 plate appearances with a .762 OPS. Nico Hoerner is 2-for-19 in 23 plate appearances with a .366 OPS. Pete Crow-Armstrong is 0-for-2, Alex Bregman is 0-for-1 in 3 plate appearances with a .667 OPS, and Miguel Amaya is 0-for-2.
Brice Turang is 1-for-1 against Rolison with a 2.000 OPS. David Hamilton also has a 1-for-1 record with a 2.000 OPS. Christian Yelich is 0-for-2, Jake Bauers is 0-for-1, and Sal Frelick is 0-for-1. Jackson Chourio, Andrew Vaughn, Gary Sánchez, and Cooper Pratt have no MLB history against Ryan Rolison.
Takeaway: The away lineup has significantly more batters with prior MLB history and notable success against the opposing starter compared to the home lineup.
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