Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets (2026-07-28). Chris Sale vs Christian Scott at Citi Field.

Starters — Chris Sale has a 2.19 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and 111.0 innings with 10.86 K/9, 2.11 BB/9, and 0.65 HR/9. His last three starts: 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 11 K, 1 BB; 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 0 BB; 3.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 1 BB. The trend is flat, but the strikeout rate and home run suppression remain elite. Christian Scott has a 3.13 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and 63.1 innings with 11.08 K/9, 4.12 BB/9, and 0.99 HR/9. His last three starts: 3.2 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, 3 BB; 5.2 IP, 0 ER, 7 K, 0 BB; 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 1 BB. The trend is up overall, though the most recent outing showed some control slippage.

Teams — Atlanta enters with a .731 OPS, 523 runs, a .249 team average, and a pitching staff carrying a 3.74 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. The Braves are 6-4 over their last 10, and their profile is balanced with the stronger offense and the better run-prevention numbers in this matchup. New York has a .694 OPS, 446 runs, a .235 team average, and a 4.18 team ERA with a 1.30 WHIP. The Mets are 5-5 in their last 10, and their offense has been less productive overall, which puts added pressure on Scott to miss bats while limiting free passes.