INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central

St. Louis Cardinals 4, Chicago Cubs 6

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

2:30 PM ET · Wrigley FieldGame-day snapshot Jul 5, 2:12 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 3, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score41
St. Louis Cardinals
77–85 · 4th NL Central · T-Score 41
4
4–6
FINAL
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 63
6
T-Score63
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCubsAssad leads Liberatore in P-Score (49 vs 46), WHIP and last-5 ERA.
Offense vs handCubsChicago owns a .796 OPS vs LHP, 1th in MLB; St. ranks 29th vs RHP.
Recent formCardinalsSt. has been the better recent team, at 5–5 over the last 10.
Team strengthCubsChicago leads 63–41 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
Plate disciplineCubsChicago has drawn 395 walks this season, 110 more than St..

Starting pitchers

STL
Matthew Liberatore LHP
Matthew Liberatore
St. Louis Cardinals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.33
174th
WHIP
1.55
182nd
K/9
8.60
73rd
BB/9
3.59
117th
P-Score46i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.85
188th
OPS/R
–
IP
82.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.18
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
CHC
Javier Assad RHP
Javier Assad
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.53
63rd
WHIP
1.12
44th
K/9
5.40
209th
BB/9
2.26
59th
P-Score49i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.74
170th
OPS/R
–
IP
51.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.96
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Liberatore strikes out 3.2 more batters per nine innings.
·Assad allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.12 WHIP compared with 1.55.
·Assad enters with a 4.53 ERA compared with Liberatore's 5.33.
·Assad has produced a quality start in 40% of outings versus 0%.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Liberatore arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam30%94.3
Slider27%86.1
Curveball18%79.6
Changeup13%88.5
Sinker8%94.2
Cutter4%90.5
Sweeper0%85.2
Splitter0%87.0
Assad arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker42%93.4
Four-seam19%93.5
Cutter13%88.8
Changeup8%86.0
Curveball7%77.7
Sweeper7%81.6
Slider4%85.3

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Cardinals vs RHP (Javier Assad)
29th
in MLB
0.688OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Cubs vs LHP (Matthew Liberatore)
1st
in MLB
0.796OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
St. Louis CardinalsOfficial lineupvs RHP Javier Assad
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Assad (BvP)
1JJ Wetherholt—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Iván Herrera—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Alec Burleson—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Jordan Walker—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Lars Nootbaar—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Masyn Winn—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Nathan Church—–––No MLB historyNo history
8José Fermín—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Bryan Torres—–––No MLB historyNo history
1JJ Wetherholt– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Iván Herrera– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Alec Burleson– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Jordan Walker– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Lars Nootbaar– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Masyn Winn– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Nathan Church– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8José Fermín– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Bryan Torres– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs LHP Matthew Liberatore
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Liberatore (BvP)
1Pete Crow-Armstrong—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Alex Bregman—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Seiya Suzuki—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Carson Kelly—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Michael Busch—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Nico Hoerner—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Ian Happ—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Dansby Swanson—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Kevin Alcántara—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Pete Crow-Armstrong– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Alex Bregman– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Seiya Suzuki– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Carson Kelly– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Michael Busch– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Nico Hoerner– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Ian Happ– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Dansby Swanson– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Kevin Alcántara– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseSTLSTL·CHCCHC
AVG.239 23rd.251 6th
OPS.691 28th.767 1st
Home runs167 24th220 3rd
Runs720 16th850 1st
OBP.313 22nd.339 2nd
SLG.378 29th.428 1st
PitchingSTLSTL·CHCCHC
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.26vs4.12
STLCHC
WHIP1.36vs1.26
STLCHC
K/98.0vs7.8
STLCHC
HR Allowed158vs231
STLCHC
ResultsSTLSTL·CHCCHC
+24020th
Run differential
+4252nd
77–85 Record89–73
5–5 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
St. Louis Cardinals (5–5)
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
Chicago Cubs (4–6)
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
5—8
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Cardinals?+
Matthew Liberatore (5.33 ERA, 4–5) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Javier Assad (4.53 ERA, 6–1) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:30 PM ET at Wrigley Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Wrigley Field, home of the Chicago Cubs.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Cardinals and Cubs performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Cubs 8–5 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Matthew Liberatore is at 46; Javier Assad is at 49. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.