Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers (2026-06-26). Colin Rea vs Jacob Misiorowski at American Family Field.

Colin Rea enters this contest with a season ERA of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.40 across 79.1 innings pitched in 12 starts, indicating struggles with both run prevention and baserunners. His K/9 stands at 6.69, which is below average, while his BB/9 is 3.18, suggesting moderate control issues. Recent starts show a trend of increasing ERA, with his last five outings including a 6.00 ERA in 3 innings and a 4.26 ERA in 3.1 innings, although he did manage a 3.00 ERA over 6.2 innings in his most recent appearance. Jacob Misiorowski, in contrast, boasts a dominant season ERA of 1.45 and an exceptional WHIP of 0.75 over 93 innings in 15 starts. His K/9 is an elite 13.35, coupled with a strong BB/9 of 2.23, demonstrating excellent command and strikeout ability. Misiorowski's ERA trend is down, reinforcing his consistent high-level performance, and he has maintained a low blow-up rate of 0%, indicating remarkable consistency.

The Cubs' offense has posted a respectable .740 OPS and scored 399 runs, with a .243 batting average and a .337 on-base percentage, showing an ability to get on base and generate offense. Their pitching staff, however, carries a 4.27 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP, allowing 123 home runs, which suggests vulnerability to power hitting. The Brewers' offense is comparable, with a .729 OPS and 407 runs scored, along with a .254 batting average and a .338 on-base percentage. Milwaukee's pitching is significantly stronger, featuring a 3.38 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP, with a much lower 73 home runs allowed, indicating a more effective and less susceptible pitching unit. The Brewers have also demonstrated better recent form, winning eight of their last ten games, while the Cubs have a 4-6 record over their last ten.

Looking at the head-to-head history, the Cubs and Brewers have played a series of competitive games, with the Cubs holding a slight edge in recent meetings, winning seven of their last thirteen matchups against the Brewers. The scores in these contests have varied, with some higher-scoring affairs and some lower-scoring games, reflecting the dynamic nature of this rivalry. The total line for this game is not available, but given Misiorowski's dominant pitching and Rea's higher ERA, a lower-scoring affair might be anticipated if Misiorowski performs to his season averages, potentially putting pressure on the Cubs' offense.