Baltimore Orioles
Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles (2026-06-11). Bryan Woo vs Kyle Bradish at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Bryan Woo enters this contest with a season ERA of 3.74 and an impressive WHIP of 1.00 over 77 innings pitched across 13 starts. His control is a notable strength, evidenced by a low 1.64 walks per nine innings, complemented by a solid 8.77 strikeouts per nine. Woo maintains a high quality start percentage at 66.7 percent and has a relatively low blow-up rate of 16.7 percent, indicating consistent outings despite his ERA trend being marked as "up." In his last five starts, Woo has generally limited runs, allowing 2, 0, 1, 3, and 2 earned runs respectively, demonstrating an ability to pitch deep into games with multiple seven-inning appearances.
Kyle Bradish, for the Orioles, carries a 3.89 season ERA and a significantly higher WHIP of 1.51 through 69.1 innings over 13 starts. His strikeout rate of 8.83 per nine innings is comparable to Woo's, but his walk rate of 4.67 per nine is considerably elevated, contributing to his higher WHIP. Bradish's quality start percentage stands at a modest 16.7 percent, suggesting less consistency in deeper outings, although his blow-up rate is 0 percent. His recent five starts show varied performance, including outings of 4.2, 4, 5, 6, and 5.1 innings, with earned runs ranging from 1 to 4, indicating some struggles with efficiency and run prevention in certain appearances. Both pitchers show an "up" trend in ERA, but Woo's underlying metrics point to a more stable and controlled approach.
The Seattle Mariners' offense posts a .713 OPS and has scored 292 runs this season, with a .237 team batting average. Their pitching staff, however, is a clear strength, boasting a 3.54 team ERA and a 1.19 WHIP, along with 8.69 strikeouts per nine innings. This strong pitching has been a cornerstone of their performance. The Baltimore Orioles offense shows a slight edge in production with a .722 OPS and 324 runs scored, supported by a .241 team batting average. Conversely, the Orioles' pitching staff has a higher 4.56 team ERA and a 1.40 WHIP, allowing 77 home runs this season, suggesting more vulnerability on the mound compared to Seattle. Both teams enter this matchup with similar recent form, each recording four wins and six losses over their last ten games.
Recent head-to-head matchups from the 2025 season indicate a strong advantage for Baltimore, with the Orioles winning five of the last six contests against Seattle. These past games have generally been lower-scoring affairs, with only one instance exceeding eight total runs. The current total line for this game is set at 8.5 runs. This line positions the game to be potentially higher scoring than many of the recent head-to-head encounters, which could reflect the Orioles' slightly better offensive output this season combined with their higher team ERA, potentially offsetting Bryan Woo's strong individual metrics. However, Seattle's overall strong team pitching could challenge Baltimore's offense, while Kyle Bradish's elevated walk rate could provide opportunities for Seattle to generate runs.
Away batters vs Kyle Bradish (RHP): Luke Raley has a strong 4-for-9 (.444 AVG) with a 1.222 OPS against Kyle Bradish. Randy Arozarena also has a notable history, going 4-for-18 in 19 PA for a .222 AVG and a .930 OPS. Julio Rodríguez is 2-for-8 in 9 PA with a .250 AVG and a .708 OPS. Josh Naylor and Dominic Canzone are both hitless in 3 at-bats, going 0-for-3 with a .000 OPS. Cole Young, Miles Mastrobuoni, Jhonny Pereda, and Colt Emerson have no MLB history against Bradish.
Home batters vs Bryan Woo (RHP): Adley Rutschman has a strong 2-for-3 (.667 AVG) with a 2.334 OPS against Bryan Woo. Gunnar Henderson is also 1-for-3 (.333 AVG) with a 1.666 OPS. Leody Taveras has faced Woo 12 times, going 2-for-11 for a .182 AVG and a .705 OPS. Taylor Ward is hitless in 13 at-bats, going 0-for-13 with a .000 OPS, while Pete Alonso is 0-for-3 with a .000 OPS. Jackson Holliday is hitless in 2 at-bats, going 0-for-2 in 3 PA with a .333 OPS. Samuel Basallo, Colton Cowser, and Coby Mayo have no MLB history against Woo.
Takeaway: The home lineup has slightly more batters with prior MLB history against Bryan Woo compared to the away lineup facing Kyle Bradish.