Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
↓ ERA trending down lately
↓ ERA trending down lately
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers (2026-07-17). Sandy Alcantara vs Logan Henderson at American Family Field.
Starters — Alcantara enters with a 3.99 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and 130.2 innings, pairing 6.89 K/9 with 2.27 BB/9 and 0.9 HR/9. His last three starts were mixed but mostly solid: 7.0 IP, 3 ER, 8 K, 0 BB; 8.0 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 1 BB; and 5.2 IP, 5 ER, 3 K, 5 BB. The recent form shows a rebound after the rough June 29 outing, though the listed trend is down. Henderson has a 3.18 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and 28.1 innings with stronger bat-missing numbers at 10.8 K/9, plus 2.22 BB/9 and 0.64 HR/9. His last three starts: 5.1 IP, 3 ER, 4 K, 1 BB; 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 7 K, 3 BB; and 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 7 K, 1 BB. His profile points to swing-and-miss upside and clean run prevention, although his listed trend is also down.
Teams — Miami brings a .741 OPS, .253 average, and 439 runs scored, with a 4.02 team ERA and 1.24 WHIP. The Marlins are 6-4 over their last 10, suggesting decent recent form, and their offense has been slightly more productive by OPS than Milwaukee’s. Milwaukee has a .735 OPS, .254 average, and 489 runs scored, backed by a stronger 3.48 team ERA and 1.17 WHIP. The Brewers are 5-5 in their last 10, and the bigger team edge sits on the pitching side, where they have been more efficient at limiting traffic and overall run damage.