Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Dodgers (2026-06-21). Brandon Young vs Emmet Sheehan at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

Brandon Young enters this contest with a 3.18 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over 62.1 innings pitched this season, demonstrating a stable trend in his ERA metrics. His K/9 rate of 6.35 is considerably lower than Emmet Sheehan's, while his BB/9 of 3.32 suggests more control issues than his counterpart. Sheehan, conversely, holds a higher season ERA of 4.76 and a slightly better WHIP of 1.20 across 64.1 innings, but his ERA has been trending upwards recently. Sheehan's impressive 10.07 K/9 rate indicates a higher strikeout potential, balanced by a lower BB/9 of 2.38.

The Dodgers' offense is statistically superior, boasting a .783 OPS and 404 runs scored, compared to the Orioles' .716 OPS and 357 runs. On the pitching side, the Dodgers' team ERA of 3.34 and WHIP of 1.09 significantly outperform the Orioles' 4.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP, indicating a more dominant overall pitching staff. The Dodgers have also been in strong recent form, winning eight of their last ten games, while the Orioles have a more mixed record of four wins and six losses in their last ten.

Recent head-to-head matchups from September 2025 show a split series, with the Orioles winning two of three games against the Dodgers, including a 2-1 victory. The total line for this game is set at 9.0, which aligns with the Dodgers' higher scoring offense and the potential for runs given Emmet Sheehan's upward ERA trend and Brandon Young's moderate strikeout rate. The Orioles' less potent offense and their pitcher's stable but not dominant performance could also contribute to a game that hovers around this total.