FinalFinal lineupsNL East / AL East

Washington Nationals 4, Tampa Bay Rays 3

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

4:10 PM ET · Tropicana FieldStats updated Jun 21, 3:02 AM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score50
71–82 · 4th NL East · T-Score 50
4
43
FINAL
93–59 · 1st AL East · T-Score 67
3
T-Score67
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherNationalsWashington has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Cavalli leads in P-Score, FIP and ERA.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .023 difference in OPS.
Recent formEvenBoth clubs are 3–2 in their last five, with only a 13-run difference in run differential.
Team strengthRaysTampa leads 67–50 in T-Score.
PowerNationalsWashington has 100 home runs this season, 40 more than Tampa.

Starting pitchers

2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.12
34th
WHIP
1.17
56th
K/9
10.60
23rd
BB/9
2.62
57th
P-Score70i
FIP
3.33
HR/9
0.98
66th
OPS/R
0.611
IP
164.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.25
Road ERA2.95
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.84
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
86
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.27
117th
WHIP
1.14
46th
K/9
11.04
11th
BB/9
2.50
48th
P-Score57i
FIP
4.02
HR/9
1.69
190th
OPS/R
0.685
IP
122.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.75
Road ERA4.96
Last 5 starts
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 4)
DAYS
REST
86
How the starters differ
·Cavalli allows the lower home-run rate: 0.98 vs 1.69 per nine.
·Cavalli enters with a 3.12 ERA compared with Seymour's 4.27.
·Seymour averages 9.5 more innings per start.
·Cavalli enters with a 2.95 road ERA; Seymour owns a 3.75 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricCavalliSeymourNote
ERA−73102Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.334.02
WAR3.71.5Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Cavalli arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam33%96.8
Knuckle Curve27%86.2
Sweeper14%86.3
Sinker13%96.1
Changeup8%89.1
Cutter6%93.5
Slow Curve0%77.6
Seymour arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Changeup29%83.4
Four-seam27%91.4
Sweeper20%81.6
Sinker16%90.0
Slider6%83.2
Curveball1%72.7
Cutter1%87.1

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

2nd
in MLB
0.778OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
4th
in MLB
0.755OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Tampa Bay RaysProjected — not officialvs RHP Cade Cavalli

Team comparison

OffenseWSHWSH·TBTB
AVG.247 11th.260 1st
OPS.749 3rd.735 6th
Home runs200 5th162 21st
Runs778 3rd698 9th
OBP.323 8th.329 5th
SLG.426 2nd.406 9th
PitchingWSHWSH·TBTB
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.71vs3.73
WSHTB
WHIP1.39vs1.14
WSHTB
K/97.9vs8.2
WSHTB
HR Allowed204vs189
WSHTB
ResultsWSHWSH·TBTB
+2975th
Run differential
+2729th
71–82 Record93–59
4–6 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
03
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Nationals?+
Cade Cavalli (4.07 ERA, 4–4) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Ian Seymour (4.98 ERA, 3–1) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:10 PM ET at Tropicana Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Nationals and Rays performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Rays 3–0 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Cade Cavalli is at 70; Ian Seymour is at 57. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.