INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East / NL West

Toronto Blue Jays 5, San Diego Padres 3

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

9:40 PM ET · Petco ParkGame-day snapshot Jul 10, 8:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 8, 5:01 AM ET
T-Score44
Toronto Blue Jays
79–83 · 5th AL East · T-Score 44
5
5–3
FINAL
San Diego Padres
91–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 55
3
T-Score55
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPadresSan has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Sears leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handPadresSan has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Recent formJaysToronto has won 5 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Team strengthPadresSan leads 55–44 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.

Starting pitchers

TOR
Shane Bieber RHP
Shane Bieber
Toronto Blue Jays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
9.00
129th
WHIP
2.08
163rd
K/9
6.23
161st
BB/9
4.85
170th
P-Score40i
FIP
–
HR/9
4.15
186th
OPS/R
–
IP
13.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
8.68
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 3)
DAYS
REST
6
SD
JP Sears LHP
JP Sears
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.70
148th
WHIP
1.37
132nd
K/9
8.22
174th
BB/9
4.11
106th
P-Score36i
FIP
–
HR/9
2.35
191st
OPS/R
–
IP
15.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.70
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 3)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Sears allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.37 WHIP compared with 2.08.
·Sears enters with a 4.70 ERA compared with Bieber's 9.00.
·Sears owns a 8.2 K/9 compared with Bieber's 6.2.
·Sears allows the lower home-run rate: 2.35 vs 4.15 per nine.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Bieber arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam37%92.3
Knuckle Curve18%82.6
Changeup18%88.2
Cutter12%87.4
Slider10%85.2
Sinker4%92.2
Sears arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam34%93.0
Changeup21%85.0
Sinker15%91.8
Sweeper14%79.7
Slider14%81.1
Cutter2%88.3

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Jays vs LHP (JP Sears)
28th
in MLB
0.660OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Padres vs RHP (Shane Bieber)
15th
in MLB
0.722OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Toronto Blue JaysOfficial lineupvs LHP JP Sears
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Sears (BvP)
1Ernie Clement—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr.—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Kazuma Okamoto—–––No MLB historyNo history
4George Springer—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Alejandro Kirk—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Daulton Varsho—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Luis Urías—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Myles Straw—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Jonatan Clase—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Ernie Clement– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Vladimir Guerrero Jr.– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Kazuma Okamoto– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4George Springer– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Alejandro Kirk– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Daulton Varsho– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Luis Urías– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Myles Straw– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Jonatan Clase– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Shane Bieber
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Bieber (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Jackson Merrill—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Xander Bogaerts—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Manny Machado—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Gavin Sheets—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Ty France—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Miguel Andujar—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Jase Bowen—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Rodolfo Durán—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Fernando Tatis Jr.– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Jackson Merrill– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Xander Bogaerts– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Manny Machado– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Gavin Sheets– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Ty France– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Miguel Andujar– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Jase Bowen– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Rodolfo Durán– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseTORTOR·SDSD
AVG.247 9th.244 17th
OPS.691 28th.717 19th
Home runs152 30th183 15th
Runs648 30th722 15th
OBP.310 25th.319 12th
SLG.381 26th.398 20th
PitchingTORTOR·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.90vs3.99
TORSD
WHIP1.29vs1.29
TORSD
K/98.8vs8.2
TORSD
HR Allowed167vs180
TORSD
BullpenTORTOR·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.96vs4.00
no league rank
Saves52vs48
TORSD
ResultsTORTOR·SDSD
+24622nd
Run differential
+29316th
79–83 Record91–71
5–5 Last 103–7
Last 10 games
Toronto Blue Jays (5–5)
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
San Diego Padres (3–7)
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—0
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Jays?+
Shane Bieber (9.00 ERA, 0–1) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Padres?+
JP Sears (4.70 ERA, 2–1) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
9:40 PM ET at Petco Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Petco Park, home of the San Diego Padres.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Jays and Padres performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Padres 0–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Shane Bieber is at 40; JP Sears is at 36. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.