INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East / AL Central

Tampa Bay Rays 5, Kansas City Royals 2

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:40 PM ET · Kauffman StadiumGame-day snapshot Jul 2, 7:10 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 1, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score68
Tampa Bay Rays
98–64 · 1st AL East · T-Score 68
5
5–2
FINAL
Kansas City Royals
69–93 · 5th AL Central · T-Score 30
2
T-Score30
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handRaysTampa has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Recent formEvenBoth clubs are 2–3 in their last five, with only a 1-run difference in run differential.
Team strengthRaysTampa leads 68–30 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
WeatherLow impact83°F, wind 6 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

TB
Ian Seymour LHP
Ian Seymour
Tampa Bay Rays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.32
119th
WHIP
1.14
42nd
K/9
9.36
19th
BB/9
3.60
48th
P-Score55i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.26
197th
OPS/R
–
IP
50.0
Last 5 starts
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 4)
DAYS
REST
98
KC
Stephen Kolek RHP
Stephen Kolek
Kansas City Royals
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.15
138th
WHIP
1.19
89th
K/9
5.88
214th
BB/9
1.90
19th
P-Score48i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.38
137th
OPS/R
–
IP
52.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.48
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
58
How the starters differ
·Seymour strikes out 3.5 more batters per nine innings.
·Kolek walks 1.7 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Kolek has produced a quality start in 67% of outings versus 0%.
·Seymour enters with a 4.96 road ERA; Kolek owns a 4.65 ERA at home.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Seymour arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Changeup29%83.5
Four-seam27%91.4
Sweeper20%81.7
Sinker16%90.0
Slider6%83.2
Curveball1%72.7
Cutter1%87.1
Kolek arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam28%94.3
Sinker22%93.7
Slider16%85.6
Cutter12%90.3
Changeup12%87.1
Sweeper9%79.9

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Rays vs RHP (Stephen Kolek)
4th
in MLB
0.752OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Royals vs LHP (Ian Seymour)
19th
in MLB
0.699OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Tampa Bay RaysOfficial lineupvs RHP Stephen Kolek
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Kolek (BvP)
1Yandy Díaz—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Jonathan Aranda—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Junior Caminero—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Victor Mesa Jr.—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Chandler Simpson—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Cedric Mullins—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Taylor Walls—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Richie Palacios—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Hunter Feduccia—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Yandy Díaz– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Jonathan Aranda– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Junior Caminero– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Victor Mesa Jr.– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Chandler Simpson– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Cedric Mullins– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Taylor Walls– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Richie Palacios– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Hunter Feduccia– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Kansas City RoyalsOfficial lineupvs LHP Ian Seymour
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Seymour (BvP)
1Carter Jensen—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Bobby Witt Jr.—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Jac Caglianone—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Lane Thomas—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Starling Marte—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Nick Loftin—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Michael Massey—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Isaac Collins—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Kameron Misner—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Carter Jensen– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Bobby Witt Jr.– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Jac Caglianone– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Lane Thomas– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Starling Marte– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Nick Loftin– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Michael Massey– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Isaac Collins– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Kameron Misner– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseTBTB·KCKC
AVG.258 1st.248 8th
OPS.728 8th.718 17th
Home runs169 22nd170 21st
Runs736 12th690 22nd
OBP.326 6th.316 17th
SLG.402 15th.402 13th
PitchingTBTB·KCKC
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.70vs4.77
TBKC
WHIP1.14vs1.41
TBKC
K/98.3vs7.4
TBKC
HR Allowed201vs210
TBKC
ResultsTBTB·KCKC
+3475th
Run differential
+16627th
98–64 Record69–93
5–5 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Tampa Bay Rays (5–5)
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
Kansas City Royals (5–5)
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—3
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Rays?+
Ian Seymour (4.32 ERA, 4–1) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Royals?+
Stephen Kolek (4.15 ERA, 4–2) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:40 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Kauffman Stadium, home of the Kansas City Royals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Rays and Royals performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Royals 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Ian Seymour is at 55; Stephen Kolek is at 48. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.