Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherPhilliesNola holds a modest edge in P-Score and WHIP, while the ERA gap is small.
Offense vs handEvenBoth offenses perform near the same level against the opposing starter's handedness.
Recent formPhilliesPhiladelphia has been the better recent team, at 6–4 over the last 10.
WeatherLow impact85°F, wind 2 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA6.55
Road ERA10.13
How the starters differ
·Nola allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.35 WHIP compared with 1.78.
·Nola enters with a 4.49 ERA compared with Palmquist's 7.71.
·Palmquist allows the lower home-run rate: 0.55 vs 1.82 per nine.
·Nola has produced a quality start in 33% of outings versus 0%.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Nola | Palmquist | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 108 | 180 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 4.85 | 4.08 | |
| WAR | 1.3 | 0.2 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Nola arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Knuckle Curve | 33% | 78.4 |
| Four-seam | 24% | 92.3 |
| Sinker | 18% | 91.6 |
| Changeup | 16% | 85.6 |
| Cutter | 8% | 86.3 |
| Slider | 1% | 83.2 |
Palmquist arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Sweeper | 42% | 73.9 |
| Sinker | 33% | 90.6 |
| Four-seam | 16% | 91.2 |
| Cutter | 10% | 82.0 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.712OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.733OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Team comparison
Offense
PHI·
WSHAVG.241 20th.247 10th
OPS.709 23rd.746 3rd
Home runs179 16th204 4th
Runs697 15th800 3rd
OBP.312 23rd.322 8th
SLG.397 22nd.424 3rd
Pitching
PHI·
WSH1stMLB rank30th
Results
PHI·
WSH+26611th
Run differential
+3075th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Phillies?+
Aaron Nola (5.58 ERA, 3–4) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Nationals?+
Carson Palmquist (2.70 ERA, 0–0) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:45 PM ET at Nationals Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Nationals Park, home of the Washington Nationals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Phillies and Nationals performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Nationals 5–8 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.