INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsAL West / AL East

Houston Astros 3, Toronto Blue Jays 1

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:07 PM ET · Rogers CentreStats updated Jun 25, 3:03 AM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score49
Houston Astros
77–79 · 2nd AL West · T-Score 49
3
3–1
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
77–80 · 4th AL East · T-Score 45
1
T-Score45
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherJaysToronto has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Yesavage leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handAstrosHouston has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Recent formAstrosHouston has won 6 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
PowerAstrosHouston has 107 home runs this season, 26 more than Toronto.
Plate disciplineAstrosHouston has drawn 278 walks this season, 53 more than Toronto.

Starting pitchers

HOU
Mike Burrows RHP
Mike Burrows
Houston Astros
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.99
200th
WHIP
1.55
200th
K/9
7.13
158th
BB/9
3.33
124th
P-Score39i
FIP
5.64
HR/9
2.00
209th
OPS/R
0.729
IP
94.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA7.07
Road ERA5.13
Last 5 starts
ERA
6.75
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
89
TOR
Trey Yesavage RHP
Trey Yesavage
Toronto Blue Jays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.67
68th
WHIP
1.13
38th
K/9
8.84
76th
BB/9
4.33
190th
P-Score53i
FIP
4.08
HR/9
1.03
80th
OPS/R
0.613
IP
95.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.20
Road ERA3.14
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.07
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
57
How the starters differ
·Yesavage owns the lower FIP, 4.08 to 5.64.
·Yesavage allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.13 WHIP compared with 1.55.
·Yesavage owns a 8.8 K/9 compared with Burrows's 7.1.
·Yesavage allows the lower home-run rate: 1.03 vs 2.00 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricBurrowsYesavageNote
ERA−14589Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP5.644.08
WAR-0.41.3Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Burrows arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam29%95.0
Changeup27%86.7
Slider16%89.5
Curveball14%79.0
Sinker14%94.5
Yesavage arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam47%94.3
Splitter29%82.9
Slider25%87.6

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Astros vs RHP (Trey Yesavage)
12th
in MLB
0.727OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Jays vs RHP (Mike Burrows)
23rd
in MLB
0.710OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Toronto Blue JaysProjected — not officialvs RHP Mike Burrows
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Burrows (BvP)
1Alejandro Kirk—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Andrés Giménez—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Brandon Valenzuela—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Daulton Varsho—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Davis Schneider—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Alejandro Kirk– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Andrés Giménez– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Brandon Valenzuela– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Daulton Varsho– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Davis Schneider– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseHOUHOU·TORTOR
AVG.240 22nd.248 8th
OPS.723 9th.692 29th
Home runs209 3rd149 28th
Runs688 19th632 29th
OBP.313 21st.310 26th
SLG.410 7th.382 27th
PitchingHOUHOU·TORTOR
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.53vs3.92
HOUTOR
WHIP1.34vs1.30
HOUTOR
K/98.8vs8.8
HOUTOR
HR Allowed201vs163
HOUTOR
ResultsHOUHOU·TORTOR
+22217th
Run differential
+17722nd
77–79 Record77–80
6–4 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Houston Astros (6–4)
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
Toronto Blue Jays (4–6)
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—2
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Astros?+
Mike Burrows (5.48 ERA, 3–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Jays?+
Trey Yesavage (3.56 ERA, 3–3) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre.
Where is the game being played?+
Rogers Centre, home of the Toronto Blue Jays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Astros and Jays performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Jays 2–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Mike Burrows is at 39; Trey Yesavage is at 53. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.