INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsAL West / AL East

Houston Astros 3, Toronto Blue Jays 1

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:07 PM ET · Rogers CentreGame-day snapshot Jun 25, 3:03 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 9, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score52
Houston Astros
81–81 · 1st AL West · T-Score 52
3
3–1
FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays
79–83 · 5th AL East · T-Score 44
1
T-Score44
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherJaysToronto has the stronger starting-pitcher profile: Yesavage leads in P-Score, WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handAstrosHouston has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Recent formAstrosHouston has won 6 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
PowerAstrosHouston has 107 home runs this season, 26 more than Toronto.
Plate disciplineAstrosHouston has drawn 278 walks this season, 53 more than Toronto.

Starting pitchers

HOU
Mike Burrows RHP
Mike Burrows
Houston Astros
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.48
206th
WHIP
1.50
205th
K/9
7.28
158th
BB/9
3.27
126th
P-Score38i
FIP
–
HR/9
2.00
213th
OPS/R
–
IP
85.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
6.75
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
89
TOR
Trey Yesavage RHP
Trey Yesavage
Toronto Blue Jays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.56
71st
WHIP
1.17
44th
K/9
8.60
72nd
BB/9
4.45
198th
P-Score52i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.74
93rd
OPS/R
–
IP
60.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.07
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
57
How the starters differ
·Yesavage allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.17 WHIP compared with 1.50.
·Yesavage enters with a 3.56 ERA compared with Burrows's 5.48.
·Yesavage allows the lower home-run rate: 0.74 vs 2.00 per nine.
·Yesavage owns a 8.6 K/9 compared with Burrows's 7.3.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Burrows arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam29%95.0
Changeup27%86.7
Slider16%89.5
Curveball14%79.0
Sinker14%94.5
Yesavage arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam47%94.3
Splitter29%82.9
Slider24%87.6

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Astros vs RHP (Trey Yesavage)
8th
in MLB
0.739OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Jays vs RHP (Mike Burrows)
25th
in MLB
0.705OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Toronto Blue JaysProjected — not officialvs RHP Mike Burrows
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Burrows (BvP)
1Alejandro Kirk—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Andrés Giménez—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Brandon Valenzuela—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Daulton Varsho—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Davis Schneider—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Alejandro Kirk– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Andrés Giménez– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Brandon Valenzuela– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Daulton Varsho– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Davis Schneider– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseHOUHOU·TORTOR
AVG.242 19th.247 9th
OPS.732 7th.691 28th
Home runs226 1st152 30th
Runs734 13th648 30th
OBP.315 19th.310 25th
SLG.417 4th.381 26th
PitchingHOUHOU·TORTOR
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.45vs3.90
HOUTOR
WHIP1.34vs1.29
HOUTOR
K/98.8vs8.8
HOUTOR
HR Allowed204vs167
HOUTOR
ResultsHOUHOU·TORTOR
+30814th
Run differential
+25321st
81–81 Record79–83
6–4 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Houston Astros (6–4)
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
Toronto Blue Jays (4–6)
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—2
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Astros?+
Mike Burrows (5.48 ERA, 3–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Jays?+
Trey Yesavage (3.56 ERA, 3–3) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre.
Where is the game being played?+
Rogers Centre, home of the Toronto Blue Jays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Astros and Jays performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Jays 2–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Mike Burrows is at 38; Trey Yesavage is at 52. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.