San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins

San Francisco Giants at Miami Marlins (2026-06-21). Logan Webb vs Ryan Gusto at loanDepot park.

Logan Webb, for the Giants, enters with a season ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.15 across 75.1 innings, demonstrating solid control with a 2.27 BB/9 and a 7.77 K/9. His recent trend shows an upward movement in ERA, and he has an alternating pattern in his starts, with a 66.7% quality start percentage but also a 16.7% blow-up rate. Ryan Gusto, pitching for the Marlins, has a significantly higher season ERA of 7.24 and a WHIP of 1.76 over 13.2 innings, indicating struggles in his limited appearances this season. Gusto's K/9 is 6.59 and BB/9 is 3.29, which are less efficient than Webb's metrics, and he has not recorded a quality start this season, though his trend ERA is currently down.

Offensively, the Giants have a collective OPS of 0.731, driven by a 0.259 batting average and 81 home runs, resulting in 316 runs scored. Their pitching staff holds a 4.49 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP, allowing 79 home runs. The Marlins offense shows a 0.711 OPS with a 0.246 batting average and 68 home runs, but they have scored slightly more runs at 334, partially due to a higher OBP of 0.324 compared to the Giants' 0.310. Miami's pitching unit has a better team ERA of 4.11 and a lower WHIP of 1.26, having surrendered 74 home runs.

In recent head-to-head matchups from 2025, the Marlins have held an advantage, winning four of the last six encounters, including a three-game sweep in late June. The total line for this game is set at 7.5, which aligns with the Marlins' generally tighter pitching and the Giants' more inconsistent recent pitching performances, suggesting expectations for a moderately scoring affair despite Webb's season statistics.