Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox (2026-06-22). Gavin Williams vs Anthony Kay at Rate Field.

Gavin Williams enters this contest with a solid 3.83 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP across 91.2 innings pitched in 15 starts this season, demonstrating effective control with a 10.11 K/9 and a 2.95 BB/9. His recent trend shows an upward movement in ERA, and he has a 33.3% quality start percentage, but a 16.7% blow-up rate. Anthony Kay, on the other hand, has a higher season ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.44 over 70.1 innings in 13 starts, with a lower K/9 of 7.04 and a higher BB/9 of 3.58. Kay's recent ERA trend is also upward, and he has not recorded a quality start this season, indicating less consistent performance.

The Guardians' offense presents a moderate challenge with a .683 OPS and 310 runs scored, while their pitching staff boasts a strong 3.79 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Cleveland's recent form is mixed, with a 5-5 record in their last ten games. The White Sox offense shows more power, with a .729 OPS and 353 runs, but their pitching unit has a higher 4.41 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Chicago's recent performance has been less consistent, holding a 4-6 record in their last ten outings.

The head-to-head history between these two teams heavily favors the Guardians, who have won 11 of their last 13 matchups against the White Sox. This historical dominance suggests a potential struggle for Chicago, even with the home field advantage. The total line for this game is set at 8.0 runs, which aligns with the pitching matchup featuring one pitcher with an ERA below 4.00 and another above, coupled with offenses that are capable of scoring but not consistently explosive.