INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL West / AL East

Arizona Diamondbacks 1, Tampa Bay Rays 5

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

1:40 PM ET · Tropicana FieldGame-day snapshot Jun 28, 1:30 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 4, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score50
Arizona Diamondbacks
86–76 · 3rd NL West · T-Score 50
1
1–5
FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays
98–64 · 1st AL East · T-Score 67
5
T-Score67
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherRaysRasmussen leads Kelly in P-Score (75 vs 40), WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handRaysTampa owns a .752 OPS vs RHP, 4th in MLB; Arizona ranks 26th vs RHP.
Recent formRaysTampa has been the better recent team, at 5–5 over the last 10.
WeatherLow impactWeather conditions are expected to have little effect on the normal scoring environment.

Starting pitchers

AZ
Merrill Kelly RHP
Merrill Kelly
Arizona Diamondbacks
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.71
162nd
WHIP
1.52
179th
K/9
5.23
199th
BB/9
3.69
171st
P-Score40i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.78
174th
OPS/R
–
IP
75.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
7.62
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
75
TB
Drew Rasmussen RHP
Drew Rasmussen
Tampa Bay Rays
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.62
11th
WHIP
0.88
5th
K/9
9.31
64th
BB/9
1.57
4th
P-Score75i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.94
22nd
OPS/R
–
IP
86.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.23
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
94
How the starters differ
·Rasmussen strikes out 4.1 more batters per nine innings.
·Rasmussen allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.88 WHIP compared with 1.52.
·Rasmussen enters with a 2.62 ERA compared with Kelly's 5.71.
·Rasmussen allows the lower home-run rate: 0.94 vs 1.78 per nine.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Kelly arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Changeup28%88.5
Four-seam28%92.1
Cutter13%91.0
Curveball12%82.5
Slider10%86.3
Sinker10%92.4
Rasmussen arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Cutter29%90.0
Four-seam28%95.8
Sinker24%95.3
Changeup13%89.6
Curveball3%80.1
Sweeper3%84.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Diamondbacks vs RHP (Drew Rasmussen)
26th
in MLB
0.697OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Rays vs RHP (Merrill Kelly)
4th
in MLB
0.752OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Rasmussen (BvP)
1Ketel Marte—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Geraldo Perdomo—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Corbin Carroll—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Adrian Del Castillo—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Lourdes Gurriel Jr.—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Pavin Smith—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Nolan Arenado—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Ildemaro Vargas—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Tommy Troy—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Ketel Marte– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Geraldo Perdomo– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Corbin Carroll– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Adrian Del Castillo– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Lourdes Gurriel Jr.– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Pavin Smith– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Nolan Arenado– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Ildemaro Vargas– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Tommy Troy– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Tampa Bay RaysOfficial lineupvs RHP Merrill Kelly
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Kelly (BvP)
1Yandy Díaz—–––No MLB historyNo history
2Jonathan Aranda—–––No MLB historyNo history
3Junior Caminero—–––No MLB historyNo history
4Victor Mesa Jr.—–––No MLB historyNo history
5Chandler Simpson—–––No MLB historyNo history
6Cedric Mullins—–––No MLB historyNo history
7Ben Williamson—–––No MLB historyNo history
8Taylor Walls—–––No MLB historyNo history
9Nick Fortes—–––No MLB historyNo history
1Yandy Díaz– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score2Jonathan Aranda– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score3Junior Caminero– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score4Victor Mesa Jr.– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score5Chandler Simpson– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score6Cedric Mullins– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Ben Williamson– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Taylor Walls– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Nick Fortes– / – · – HRvs hand – · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseAZAZ·TBTB
AVG.246 12th.258 1st
OPS.720 12th.728 8th
Home runs166 25th169 22nd
Runs739 10th736 12th
OBP.318 13th.326 5th
SLG.402 14th.402 13th
PitchingAZAZ·TBTB
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.18vs3.70
AZTB
WHIP1.28vs1.14
AZTB
K/97.1vs8.3
AZTB
HR Allowed186vs201
AZTB
ResultsAZAZ·TBTB
+30113th
Run differential
+3604th
86–76 Record98–64
5–5 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Arizona Diamondbacks (5–5)
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
Tampa Bay Rays (5–5)
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
1—2
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Diamondbacks?+
Merrill Kelly (5.71 ERA, 5–7) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Drew Rasmussen (2.62 ERA, 6–4) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:40 PM ET at Tropicana Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Diamondbacks and Rays performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Rays 2–1 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Merrill Kelly is at 40; Drew Rasmussen is at 75. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.